Economic dissatisfaction with living costs, unemployment, and power shortages stands as the main driver keeping expected turnout in the moderate range for Zambia’s August 13 presidential first round. Record registration of 8.78 million voters reflects ECZ outreach and prior extensions, yet surveys show polarized trust in the process and 32 percent undecided or unwilling to state preferences, factors that historically correlate with participation near or below the long-term average. Incumbent Hakainde Hichilema’s lead and opposition fragmentation may limit broad mobilization, while youth engagement and campaign intensity in the coming weeks could still lift or depress overall rates depending on how economic messaging resonates with registered voters.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日50〜60％ 32%
60〜70％ 26%
70〜80％ 18%
50％未満 12%
$17,704 Vol.
$17,704 Vol.
2026/08/14
50％未満
12%
50〜60％
32%
60〜70％
26%
70〜80％
18%
80％以上
9%
50〜60％ 32%
60〜70％ 26%
70〜80％ 18%
50％未満 12%
$17,704 Vol.
$17,704 Vol.
2026/08/14
50％未満
$3,587 Vol.
12%
50〜60％
$3,988 Vol.
32%
60〜70％
$6,091 Vol.
26%
70〜80％
$1,270 Vol.
18%
80％以上
$2,767 Vol.
9%
The first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 13, 2026, with a potential second round within 37 days thereafter.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).Economic dissatisfaction with living costs, unemployment, and power shortages stands as the main driver keeping expected turnout in the moderate range for Zambia’s August 13 presidential first round. Record registration of 8.78 million voters reflects ECZ outreach and prior extensions, yet surveys show polarized trust in the process and 32 percent undecided or unwilling to state preferences, factors that historically correlate with participation near or below the long-term average. Incumbent Hakainde Hichilema’s lead and opposition fragmentation may limit broad mobilization, while youth engagement and campaign intensity in the coming weeks could still lift or depress overall rates depending on how economic messaging resonates with registered voters.
The first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 13, 2026, with a potential second round within 37 days thereafter.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).
マーケット開始日： Jun 5, 2026, 4:09 PM ET
音量
$17,704終了日
2026/08/14マーケット開始日
Jun 5, 2026, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 13, 2026, with a potential second round within 37 days thereafter.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).Economic dissatisfaction with living costs, unemployment, and power shortages stands as the main driver keeping expected turnout in the moderate range for Zambia’s August 13 presidential first round. Record registration of 8.78 million voters reflects ECZ outreach and prior extensions, yet surveys show polarized trust in the process and 32 percent undecided or unwilling to state preferences, factors that historically correlate with participation near or below the long-term average. Incumbent Hakainde Hichilema’s lead and opposition fragmentation may limit broad mobilization, while youth engagement and campaign intensity in the coming weeks could still lift or depress overall rates depending on how economic messaging resonates with registered voters.
The first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 13, 2026, with a potential second round within 37 days thereafter.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).
音量
$17,704終了日
2026/08/14マーケット開始日
Jun 5, 2026, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Economic dissatisfaction with living costs, unemployment, and power shortages stands as the main driver keeping expected turnout in the moderate range for Zambia’s August 13 presidential first round. Record registration of 8.78 million voters reflects ECZ outreach and prior extensions, yet surveys show polarized trust in the process and 32 percent undecided or unwilling to state preferences, factors that historically correlate with participation near or below the long-term average. Incumbent Hakainde Hichilema’s lead and opposition fragmentation may limit broad mobilization, while youth engagement and campaign intensity in the coming weeks could still lift or depress overall rates depending on how economic messaging resonates with registered voters.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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