Incumbent Sen. Lindsey Graham's commanding fundraising lead and longstanding name recognition in the deep-red state drive his 86.5% trader consensus as the Republican primary winner on June 9, reflecting historical incumbency advantages in South Carolina Senate primaries despite soft support among the GOP base. Challenger Mark Lynch holds 13.2% implied probability, bolstered by Paul Dans' April 10 dropout and subsequent endorsement, which consolidated some anti-establishment backing but failed to ignite broader momentum amid limited polling or grassroots surge. Fringe candidates Paul Dans (now withdrawn) and Thomas Murphy trail at negligible levels, underscoring the field's consolidation around the top two ahead of early voting.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日リンジー・グラハム 87%
マーク・リンチ 13.2%
ポール・ダンス <1%
トーマス・マーフィー <1%
$139,911 Vol.
$139,911 Vol.
リンジー・グラハム
87%
マーク・リンチ
13%
ポール・ダンス
1%
トーマス・マーフィー
<1%
リンジー・グラハム 87%
マーク・リンチ 13.2%
ポール・ダンス <1%
トーマス・マーフィー <1%
$139,911 Vol.
$139,911 Vol.
リンジー・グラハム
87%
マーク・リンチ
13%
ポール・ダンス
1%
トーマス・マーフィー
<1%
If no 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
マーケット開始日: Sep 15, 2025, 3:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Sen. Lindsey Graham's commanding fundraising lead and longstanding name recognition in the deep-red state drive his 86.5% trader consensus as the Republican primary winner on June 9, reflecting historical incumbency advantages in South Carolina Senate primaries despite soft support among the GOP base. Challenger Mark Lynch holds 13.2% implied probability, bolstered by Paul Dans' April 10 dropout and subsequent endorsement, which consolidated some anti-establishment backing but failed to ignite broader momentum amid limited polling or grassroots surge. Fringe candidates Paul Dans (now withdrawn) and Thomas Murphy trail at negligible levels, underscoring the field's consolidation around the top two ahead of early voting.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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