Incumbent Željka Cvijanović holds the strongest position ahead of Bosnia and Herzegovina’s October 4, 2026 general election, where voters in Republika Srpska select the Serb Presidency member. Trader consensus at 75.5% reflects SNSD party continuity after ally Siniša Karan’s narrow February 2026 victory as entity president, following the disputed November 2025 snap poll. Recent U.S. engagements by Cvijanović, including White House meetings, underscore her diplomatic visibility and reinforce institutional backing. Opposition candidates such as Nebojša Vukanović, who declared his run in early May, Draško Stanivuković, Branko Blanuša, and Karan himself trail due to fragmented parties and limited polling or nominations, with no major shifts in the past 30 days beyond ongoing secessionist rhetoric.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Željka Cvijanović 76%
Nebojša Vukanović 8%
Draško Stanivuković 7%
Branko Blanuša <1%
$16,170 Vol.
$16,170 Vol.
2026/10/04
Željka Cvijanović
76%
Nebojša Vukanović
8%
Draško Stanivuković
7%
Branko Blanuša
1%
Siniša Karan
1%
Željka Cvijanović 76%
Nebojša Vukanović 8%
Draško Stanivuković 7%
Branko Blanuša <1%
$16,170 Vol.
$16,170 Vol.
2026/10/04
Željka Cvijanović
$13,876 Vol.
76%
Nebojša Vukanović
$655 Vol.
8%
Draško Stanivuković
$350 Vol.
7%
Branko Blanuša
$350 Vol.
1%
Siniša Karan
$939 Vol.
1%
The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Serb member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.
Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count.
If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Incumbent Željka Cvijanović holds the strongest position ahead of Bosnia and Herzegovina’s October 4, 2026 general election, where voters in Republika Srpska select the Serb Presidency member. Trader consensus at 75.5% reflects SNSD party continuity after ally Siniša Karan’s narrow February 2026 victory as entity president, following the disputed November 2025 snap poll. Recent U.S. engagements by Cvijanović, including White House meetings, underscore her diplomatic visibility and reinforce institutional backing. Opposition candidates such as Nebojša Vukanović, who declared his run in early May, Draško Stanivuković, Branko Blanuša, and Karan himself trail due to fragmented parties and limited polling or nominations, with no major shifts in the past 30 days beyond ongoing secessionist rhetoric.
The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Serb member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.
Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count.
If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Serb member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.
Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count.
If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： May 12, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
音量
$16,170終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
May 12, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Serb member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.
Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count.
If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Incumbent Željka Cvijanović holds the strongest position ahead of Bosnia and Herzegovina’s October 4, 2026 general election, where voters in Republika Srpska select the Serb Presidency member. Trader consensus at 75.5% reflects SNSD party continuity after ally Siniša Karan’s narrow February 2026 victory as entity president, following the disputed November 2025 snap poll. Recent U.S. engagements by Cvijanović, including White House meetings, underscore her diplomatic visibility and reinforce institutional backing. Opposition candidates such as Nebojša Vukanović, who declared his run in early May, Draško Stanivuković, Branko Blanuša, and Karan himself trail due to fragmented parties and limited polling or nominations, with no major shifts in the past 30 days beyond ongoing secessionist rhetoric.
The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Serb member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.
Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count.
If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Serb member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.
Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count.
If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$16,170終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
May 12, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Željka Cvijanović holds the strongest position ahead of Bosnia and Herzegovina’s October 4, 2026 general election, where voters in Republika Srpska select the Serb Presidency member. Trader consensus at 75.5% reflects SNSD party continuity after ally Siniša Karan’s narrow February 2026 victory as entity president, following the disputed November 2025 snap poll. Recent U.S. engagements by Cvijanović, including White House meetings, underscore her diplomatic visibility and reinforce institutional backing. Opposition candidates such as Nebojša Vukanović, who declared his run in early May, Draško Stanivuković, Branko Blanuša, and Karan himself trail due to fragmented parties and limited polling or nominations, with no major shifts in the past 30 days beyond ongoing secessionist rhetoric.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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