The São Tomé and Príncipe presidential race remains tightly balanced ahead of the July 19 first round because a crowded field of candidates, including incumbent Carlos Vila Nova of the ADI party, is expected to fragment the vote in a two-round system that requires an outright majority. Recent constitutional disputes over cabinet changes and institutional tensions have added uncertainty without consolidating support behind any single contender. Traders see limited separation as opposition figures such as Nito Abreu, Jorge Bom Jesus, and others compete for similar voter bases ahead of September legislative elections. Clearer polling trends, formal alliances, or last-minute candidate withdrawals could shift implied probabilities, while the absence of a dominant frontrunner keeps first-round odds compressed across multiple outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日São Tomé Presidential Election First Round Winner
São Tomé Presidential Election First Round Winner
Elsa Pinto 46%
Jorge Bom Jesus 46%
Nino Monteiro 45%
Carlos Vila Nova 43%
新規
新規
2026/07/19
Elsa Pinto
46%
Jorge Bom Jesus
46%
Nino Monteiro
45%
Carlos Vila Nova
43%
Nito Abreu
39%
Elsa Pinto 46%
Jorge Bom Jesus 46%
Nino Monteiro 45%
Carlos Vila Nova 43%
新規
新規
2026/07/19
Elsa Pinto
$0 Vol.
46%
Jorge Bom Jesus
$0 Vol.
46%
Nino Monteiro
$0 Vol.
45%
Carlos Vila Nova
$0 Vol.
43%
Nito Abreu
$0 Vol.
39%
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in São Tomé and Príncipe on July 19, 2026, with a potential second round to be scheduled if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, this market will resolve to the winner of the specified election.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by São Tomé and Príncipe government sources.The São Tomé and Príncipe presidential race remains tightly balanced ahead of the July 19 first round because a crowded field of candidates, including incumbent Carlos Vila Nova of the ADI party, is expected to fragment the vote in a two-round system that requires an outright majority. Recent constitutional disputes over cabinet changes and institutional tensions have added uncertainty without consolidating support behind any single contender. Traders see limited separation as opposition figures such as Nito Abreu, Jorge Bom Jesus, and others compete for similar voter bases ahead of September legislative elections. Clearer polling trends, formal alliances, or last-minute candidate withdrawals could shift implied probabilities, while the absence of a dominant frontrunner keeps first-round odds compressed across multiple outcomes.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in São Tomé and Príncipe on July 19, 2026, with a potential second round to be scheduled if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, this market will resolve to the winner of the specified election.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by São Tomé and Príncipe government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, this market will resolve to the winner of the specified election.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by São Tomé and Príncipe government sources.
マーケット開始日： Jul 2, 2026, 3:27 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/07/19マーケット開始日
Jul 2, 2026, 3:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in São Tomé and Príncipe on July 19, 2026, with a potential second round to be scheduled if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, this market will resolve to the winner of the specified election.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by São Tomé and Príncipe government sources.The São Tomé and Príncipe presidential race remains tightly balanced ahead of the July 19 first round because a crowded field of candidates, including incumbent Carlos Vila Nova of the ADI party, is expected to fragment the vote in a two-round system that requires an outright majority. Recent constitutional disputes over cabinet changes and institutional tensions have added uncertainty without consolidating support behind any single contender. Traders see limited separation as opposition figures such as Nito Abreu, Jorge Bom Jesus, and others compete for similar voter bases ahead of September legislative elections. Clearer polling trends, formal alliances, or last-minute candidate withdrawals could shift implied probabilities, while the absence of a dominant frontrunner keeps first-round odds compressed across multiple outcomes.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in São Tomé and Príncipe on July 19, 2026, with a potential second round to be scheduled if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, this market will resolve to the winner of the specified election.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by São Tomé and Príncipe government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, this market will resolve to the winner of the specified election.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by São Tomé and Príncipe government sources.
音量
$0終了日
2026/07/19マーケット開始日
Jul 2, 2026, 3:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The São Tomé and Príncipe presidential race remains tightly balanced ahead of the July 19 first round because a crowded field of candidates, including incumbent Carlos Vila Nova of the ADI party, is expected to fragment the vote in a two-round system that requires an outright majority. Recent constitutional disputes over cabinet changes and institutional tensions have added uncertainty without consolidating support behind any single contender. Traders see limited separation as opposition figures such as Nito Abreu, Jorge Bom Jesus, and others compete for similar voter bases ahead of September legislative elections. Clearer polling trends, formal alliances, or last-minute candidate withdrawals could shift implied probabilities, while the absence of a dominant frontrunner keeps first-round odds compressed across multiple outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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