California legislative leaders and Governor Gavin Newsom placed Proposition 2 on the November 2026 ballot through ACA 20, proposing to raise the constitutional cap on the Budget Stabilization Account from 10% to 20% of estimated General Fund revenues while adjusting interactions with the Gann spending limit. The measure, framed as the Save for California’s Future Act, aims to expand reserves during revenue surges and allow greater flexibility for debt repayment during fiscal stress. Bipartisan leadership support and the absence of organized opposition have contributed to the current trader consensus favoring passage at 68.8% implied probability. Upcoming campaign developments and voter turnout patterns in the November election could still influence final outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
はい
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
マーケット開始日: Jul 1, 2026, 6:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
Resolver
0x65070BE91...California legislative leaders and Governor Gavin Newsom placed Proposition 2 on the November 2026 ballot through ACA 20, proposing to raise the constitutional cap on the Budget Stabilization Account from 10% to 20% of estimated General Fund revenues while adjusting interactions with the Gann spending limit. The measure, framed as the Save for California’s Future Act, aims to expand reserves during revenue surges and allow greater flexibility for debt repayment during fiscal stress. Bipartisan leadership support and the absence of organized opposition have contributed to the current trader consensus favoring passage at 68.8% implied probability. Upcoming campaign developments and voter turnout patterns in the November election could still influence final outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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