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icon for カリフォルニア州公共キャンペーン資金調達提案

カリフォルニア州公共キャンペーン資金調達提案

icon for カリフォルニア州公共キャンペーン資金調達提案

カリフォルニア州公共キャンペーン資金調達提案

はい

41% 確率
Polymarket
新規

はい

41% 確率
Polymarket
新規
Proposition 4 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would give California governments the authority to set up public financing systems for state and local political candidates. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).California Proposition 4, scheduled for the November 2026 ballot, would repeal the state's 1988 ban on public campaign financing and authorize state and local governments to create matching funds or grant programs subject to spending limits and eligibility rules. As of mid-August 2026, the measure remains early in the campaign cycle with support from groups including the League of Women Voters of California, labor organizations, and clean elections advocates who have formed a committee to promote it as a way to amplify small-dollar donors. No organized opposition committee has yet emerged, and the legislature referred the statute without significant floor debate. Trader consensus favoring rejection at 60% likely reflects the absence of strong polling momentum, historical voter caution toward new public spending mechanisms on the ballot, and the multi-month window remaining for developments before election day.

Proposition 4 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would give California governments the authority to set up public financing systems for state and local political candidates.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
音量
$0
終了日
2026/11/03
マーケット開始日
Jul 1, 2026, 6:31 PM ET
Proposition 4 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would give California governments the authority to set up public financing systems for state and local political candidates. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
Proposition 4 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would give California governments the authority to set up public financing systems for state and local political candidates. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).California Proposition 4, scheduled for the November 2026 ballot, would repeal the state's 1988 ban on public campaign financing and authorize state and local governments to create matching funds or grant programs subject to spending limits and eligibility rules. As of mid-August 2026, the measure remains early in the campaign cycle with support from groups including the League of Women Voters of California, labor organizations, and clean elections advocates who have formed a committee to promote it as a way to amplify small-dollar donors. No organized opposition committee has yet emerged, and the legislature referred the statute without significant floor debate. Trader consensus favoring rejection at 60% likely reflects the absence of strong polling momentum, historical voter caution toward new public spending mechanisms on the ballot, and the multi-month window remaining for developments before election day.

Proposition 4 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would give California governments the authority to set up public financing systems for state and local political candidates.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
音量
$0
終了日
2026/11/03
マーケット開始日
Jul 1, 2026, 6:31 PM ET
Proposition 4 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would give California governments the authority to set up public financing systems for state and local political candidates. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).

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「カリフォルニア州公共キャンペーン資金調達提案」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「カリフォルニア州公的選挙資金提案」で41%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、41¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に41%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

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「カリフォルニア州公共キャンペーン資金調達提案」の現在のフロントランナーは「カリフォルニア州公的選挙資金提案」で41%であり、市場がこの結果に41%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

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