Recent polling for New Zealand’s November 2026 general election shows Labour leading National by several points in party vote intentions, with the latter holding steady near 30 percent amid coalition fatigue and economic pressures. This dynamic positions the National Party as the clear trader favorite for second place, as the opposition bloc remains fragmented while National’s core support and governing partners maintain a viable base. Labour’s gains reflect voter concerns over cost-of-living issues and Prime Minister Luxon’s declining approval, yet historical patterns and the mixed-member proportional system continue to favor National finishing ahead of smaller parties like New Zealand First or the Greens. Upcoming campaign events through mid-2026 could further shift these relative standings.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日New Zealand Election: 2nd Place
New Zealand Election: 2nd Place
National Party 65%
Labour Party 37%
New Zealand First Party 23%
Green Party 20.2%
新規
新規
2026/11/07
National Party
65%
Labour Party
24%
New Zealand First Party
23%
Green Party
20%
ACT New Zealand
19%
Te Pāti Māori
14%
National Party 65%
Labour Party 37%
New Zealand First Party 23%
Green Party 20.2%
新規
新規
2026/11/07
National Party
$74 Vol.
65%
Labour Party
$78 Vol.
24%
New Zealand First Party
$46 Vol.
23%
Green Party
$35 Vol.
20%
ACT New Zealand
$35 Vol.
19%
Te Pāti Māori
$35 Vol.
14%
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polling for New Zealand’s November 2026 general election shows Labour leading National by several points in party vote intentions, with the latter holding steady near 30 percent amid coalition fatigue and economic pressures. This dynamic positions the National Party as the clear trader favorite for second place, as the opposition bloc remains fragmented while National’s core support and governing partners maintain a viable base. Labour’s gains reflect voter concerns over cost-of-living issues and Prime Minister Luxon’s declining approval, yet historical patterns and the mixed-member proportional system continue to favor National finishing ahead of smaller parties like New Zealand First or the Greens. Upcoming campaign events through mid-2026 could further shift these relative standings.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
マーケット開始日： Apr 29, 2026, 7:49 PM ET
音量
$304終了日
2026/11/07マーケット開始日
Apr 29, 2026, 7:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polling for New Zealand’s November 2026 general election shows Labour leading National by several points in party vote intentions, with the latter holding steady near 30 percent amid coalition fatigue and economic pressures. This dynamic positions the National Party as the clear trader favorite for second place, as the opposition bloc remains fragmented while National’s core support and governing partners maintain a viable base. Labour’s gains reflect voter concerns over cost-of-living issues and Prime Minister Luxon’s declining approval, yet historical patterns and the mixed-member proportional system continue to favor National finishing ahead of smaller parties like New Zealand First or the Greens. Upcoming campaign events through mid-2026 could further shift these relative standings.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
音量
$304終了日
2026/11/07マーケット開始日
Apr 29, 2026, 7:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for New Zealand’s November 2026 general election shows Labour leading National by several points in party vote intentions, with the latter holding steady near 30 percent amid coalition fatigue and economic pressures. This dynamic positions the National Party as the clear trader favorite for second place, as the opposition bloc remains fragmented while National’s core support and governing partners maintain a viable base. Labour’s gains reflect voter concerns over cost-of-living issues and Prime Minister Luxon’s declining approval, yet historical patterns and the mixed-member proportional system continue to favor National finishing ahead of smaller parties like New Zealand First or the Greens. Upcoming campaign events through mid-2026 could further shift these relative standings.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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