Bipartisan legislative approval of Senate Bill 417 in June 2026, signed by Governor Newsom, placed the $11.25 billion Veterans and Affordable Housing Bond Act on the November ballot as Proposition 1, directly shaping trader consensus around a modest Yes lead. The measure would replenish exhausted state programs for multifamily construction, homeownership assistance, permanent supportive housing, and veteran initiatives, drawing endorsements from housing coalitions and the administration. With roughly three months until voters decide by simple majority, implied probabilities near 57% reflect both the structured path to the ballot and historical patterns of mixed support for large general obligation bonds amid competing fiscal priorities and ballot measures. No major opposition campaigns have yet shifted the balance significantly.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
43% 確率
新規
新規
2026/11/03
はい
43% 確率
新規
新規
2026/11/03
Proposition 1 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would allow the state to borrow a record $11.25 billion for affordable housing, with $10 billion to buy, build, rehabilitate and preserve affordable homes and $1.25 billion to help veterans buy homes.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).Bipartisan legislative approval of Senate Bill 417 in June 2026, signed by Governor Newsom, placed the $11.25 billion Veterans and Affordable Housing Bond Act on the November ballot as Proposition 1, directly shaping trader consensus around a modest Yes lead. The measure would replenish exhausted state programs for multifamily construction, homeownership assistance, permanent supportive housing, and veteran initiatives, drawing endorsements from housing coalitions and the administration. With roughly three months until voters decide by simple majority, implied probabilities near 57% reflect both the structured path to the ballot and historical patterns of mixed support for large general obligation bonds amid competing fiscal priorities and ballot measures. No major opposition campaigns have yet shifted the balance significantly.
Proposition 1 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would allow the state to borrow a record $11.25 billion for affordable housing, with $10 billion to buy, build, rehabilitate and preserve affordable homes and $1.25 billion to help veterans buy homes.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jul 1, 2026, 6:28 PM ET
音量
$2,182終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jul 1, 2026, 6:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Proposition 1 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would allow the state to borrow a record $11.25 billion for affordable housing, with $10 billion to buy, build, rehabilitate and preserve affordable homes and $1.25 billion to help veterans buy homes.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).Bipartisan legislative approval of Senate Bill 417 in June 2026, signed by Governor Newsom, placed the $11.25 billion Veterans and Affordable Housing Bond Act on the November ballot as Proposition 1, directly shaping trader consensus around a modest Yes lead. The measure would replenish exhausted state programs for multifamily construction, homeownership assistance, permanent supportive housing, and veteran initiatives, drawing endorsements from housing coalitions and the administration. With roughly three months until voters decide by simple majority, implied probabilities near 57% reflect both the structured path to the ballot and historical patterns of mixed support for large general obligation bonds amid competing fiscal priorities and ballot measures. No major opposition campaigns have yet shifted the balance significantly.
Proposition 1 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would allow the state to borrow a record $11.25 billion for affordable housing, with $10 billion to buy, build, rehabilitate and preserve affordable homes and $1.25 billion to help veterans buy homes.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
音量
$2,182終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jul 1, 2026, 6:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Bipartisan legislative approval of Senate Bill 417 in June 2026, signed by Governor Newsom, placed the $11.25 billion Veterans and Affordable Housing Bond Act on the November ballot as Proposition 1, directly shaping trader consensus around a modest Yes lead. The measure would replenish exhausted state programs for multifamily construction, homeownership assistance, permanent supportive housing, and veteran initiatives, drawing endorsements from housing coalitions and the administration. With roughly three months until voters decide by simple majority, implied probabilities near 57% reflect both the structured path to the ballot and historical patterns of mixed support for large general obligation bonds amid competing fiscal priorities and ballot measures. No major opposition campaigns have yet shifted the balance significantly.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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