Recent polling ahead of Malta’s May 30 parliamentary election shows the incumbent Labour Party holding a steady but narrowed lead of roughly 9–11 points over the Nationalist Party, consistent with surveys from April and early May. This modest advantage—down from larger margins in prior contests—positions a 5–10% Labour victory as the market’s leading outcome, while leaving room for tighter results near or below 5% amid undecided voters and turnout variability. Traders appear to weigh these latest figures against historical patterns of Labour dominance and the opposition’s ongoing challenges in closing the gap before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Labour Party 5-10% 48%
Labour Party <5% 24%
Labour Party 10-15% 19%
Other 7.3%
Labour Party 25%+
<1%
Labour Party 20-25%
2%
Labour Party 15-20%
5%
Labour Party 10-15%
19%
Labour Party 5-10%
48%
Labour Party <5%
24%
Other
7%
Labour Party 5-10% 48%
Labour Party <5% 24%
Labour Party 10-15% 19%
Other 7.3%
Labour Party 25%+
<1%
Labour Party 20-25%
2%
Labour Party 15-20%
5%
Labour Party 10-15%
19%
Labour Party 5-10%
48%
Labour Party <5%
24%
Other
7%
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid votes in this election.
If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the political party that wins the most valid votes nationwide and the political party that wins the second-most valid votes nationwide. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If two or more parties tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two parties listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the list whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed party and an unlisted party, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed party. If the tie is between two or more unlisted parties, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most valid votes in this election, or the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the 2026 Maltese general election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results reported by the Government of Malta, such as those published by the Electoral Commission of Malta (https://electoral.gov.mt/).
マーケット開始日: May 12, 2026, 7:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid votes in this election.
If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the political party that wins the most valid votes nationwide and the political party that wins the second-most valid votes nationwide. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If two or more parties tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two parties listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the list whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed party and an unlisted party, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed party. If the tie is between two or more unlisted parties, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most valid votes in this election, or the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the 2026 Maltese general election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results reported by the Government of Malta, such as those published by the Electoral Commission of Malta (https://electoral.gov.mt/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling ahead of Malta’s May 30 parliamentary election shows the incumbent Labour Party holding a steady but narrowed lead of roughly 9–11 points over the Nationalist Party, consistent with surveys from April and early May. This modest advantage—down from larger margins in prior contests—positions a 5–10% Labour victory as the market’s leading outcome, while leaving room for tighter results near or below 5% amid undecided voters and turnout variability. Traders appear to weigh these latest figures against historical patterns of Labour dominance and the opposition’s ongoing challenges in closing the gap before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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