Morena holds a commanding lead in the 2027 Mexican legislative election market due to its position as the incumbent ruling party, consistent polling advantages of 25–40 points over fragmented opposition groups, and an established coalition structure that has delivered majorities in recent cycles. Traders reflect this dominance through the 92.9% consensus, which aligns with the party's territorial strength, social program continuity, and opposition parties' limited coordination ahead of the June 6 vote for all 500 Chamber of Deputies seats. Potential shifts could arise from sustained economic pressures, major candidate scandals, or unexpected coalition realignments, though such developments remain low-probability given current indicators.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日モレナ 92.9%
PAN 3.2%
PRI 3.2%
MC <1%
$87,156 Vol.
$87,156 Vol.
2027/06/06
モレナ
93%
PAN
3%
PRI
3%
MC
<1%
PT
<1%
PVEM
<1%
モレナ 92.9%
PAN 3.2%
PRI 3.2%
MC <1%
$87,156 Vol.
$87,156 Vol.
2027/06/06
モレナ
$52,855 Vol.
93%
PAN
$9,512 Vol.
3%
PRI
$6,263 Vol.
3%
MC
$7,582 Vol.
<1%
PT
$5,139 Vol.
<1%
PVEM
$5,805 Vol.
<1%
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).Morena holds a commanding lead in the 2027 Mexican legislative election market due to its position as the incumbent ruling party, consistent polling advantages of 25–40 points over fragmented opposition groups, and an established coalition structure that has delivered majorities in recent cycles. Traders reflect this dominance through the 92.9% consensus, which aligns with the party's territorial strength, social program continuity, and opposition parties' limited coordination ahead of the June 6 vote for all 500 Chamber of Deputies seats. Potential shifts could arise from sustained economic pressures, major candidate scandals, or unexpected coalition realignments, though such developments remain low-probability given current indicators.
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
マーケット開始日： May 15, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
音量
$87,156終了日
2027/06/06マーケット開始日
May 15, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).Morena holds a commanding lead in the 2027 Mexican legislative election market due to its position as the incumbent ruling party, consistent polling advantages of 25–40 points over fragmented opposition groups, and an established coalition structure that has delivered majorities in recent cycles. Traders reflect this dominance through the 92.9% consensus, which aligns with the party's territorial strength, social program continuity, and opposition parties' limited coordination ahead of the June 6 vote for all 500 Chamber of Deputies seats. Potential shifts could arise from sustained economic pressures, major candidate scandals, or unexpected coalition realignments, though such developments remain low-probability given current indicators.
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
音量
$87,156終了日
2027/06/06マーケット開始日
May 15, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Morena holds a commanding lead in the 2027 Mexican legislative election market due to its position as the incumbent ruling party, consistent polling advantages of 25–40 points over fragmented opposition groups, and an established coalition structure that has delivered majorities in recent cycles. Traders reflect this dominance through the 92.9% consensus, which aligns with the party's territorial strength, social program continuity, and opposition parties' limited coordination ahead of the June 6 vote for all 500 Chamber of Deputies seats. Potential shifts could arise from sustained economic pressures, major candidate scandals, or unexpected coalition realignments, though such developments remain low-probability given current indicators.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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