Recent polling shows the Democratic Party (DP) maintaining a national edge ahead of the June 3 local elections for South Korea’s 17 metropolitan mayor and governor seats, yet tightening margins in key battlegrounds such as Seoul, Busan, and Daegu have narrowed the projected range of outcomes. DP candidate leads in Seoul have shrunk to single digits in multiple May surveys while Busan has moved into a statistical tie, reflecting a partial rebound for the People Power Party in traditional conservative strongholds. With the DP holding the presidency and parliament, traders price the most likely results at 11–13 seats won, where small shifts in turnout or undecided voters in a handful of contested races can swing the final tally by one or two positions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日11 42.9%
12 26%
14 16%
13 15%
≤10
10%
11
31%
12
40%
13
15%
14
16%
15
6%
≥16
1%
11 42.9%
12 26%
14 16%
13 15%
≤10
10%
11
31%
12
40%
13
15%
14
16%
15
6%
≥16
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of Mayor and Governor elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments won by the Democratic Party (DP) during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:
Cities (mayoral elections): Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan, & Sejong
Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.
If the results of the 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
マーケット開始日: May 13, 2026, 6:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of Mayor and Governor elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments won by the Democratic Party (DP) during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:
Cities (mayoral elections): Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan, & Sejong
Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.
If the results of the 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling shows the Democratic Party (DP) maintaining a national edge ahead of the June 3 local elections for South Korea’s 17 metropolitan mayor and governor seats, yet tightening margins in key battlegrounds such as Seoul, Busan, and Daegu have narrowed the projected range of outcomes. DP candidate leads in Seoul have shrunk to single digits in multiple May surveys while Busan has moved into a statistical tie, reflecting a partial rebound for the People Power Party in traditional conservative strongholds. With the DP holding the presidency and parliament, traders price the most likely results at 11–13 seats won, where small shifts in turnout or undecided voters in a handful of contested races can swing the final tally by one or two positions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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