Internal divisions among France's left-wing parties, including tensions between La France Insoumise and other groups like the Socialists and Ecologists, have led to the dissolution of the planned United Left primary process originally set for October 2026. This development has positioned cancellation as the dominant outcome in trader consensus, as participants assess low prospects for a unified presidential candidate ahead of the 2027 election. Recent municipal election results, where partial alliances delivered gains in cities like Paris without full coordination, have underscored these fractures and reduced pressure for a joint primary ballot. If the process were revived, figures such as Marine Tondelier would face competition from challengers including François Ruffin amid ongoing coalition negotiations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日中止 56%
Marine Tondelier 29%
François Ruffin 11%
ベンジャミン・リュカ＝ランディ 1.1%
$51,369 Vol.
$51,369 Vol.
2026/10/11
中止
56%
Marine Tondelier
29%
François Ruffin
11%
ベンジャミン・リュカ＝ランディ
1%
Clémentine Autain
<1%
Lydie Massard
<1%
中止 56%
Marine Tondelier 29%
François Ruffin 11%
ベンジャミン・リュカ＝ランディ 1.1%
$51,369 Vol.
$51,369 Vol.
2026/10/11
中止
$8,277 Vol.
56%
Marine Tondelier
$26,582 Vol.
29%
François Ruffin
$11,098 Vol.
11%
ベンジャミン・リュカ＝ランディ
$67 Vol.
1%
Clémentine Autain
$3,882 Vol.
<1%
Lydie Massard
$1,464 Vol.
<1%
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Internal divisions among France's left-wing parties, including tensions between La France Insoumise and other groups like the Socialists and Ecologists, have led to the dissolution of the planned United Left primary process originally set for October 2026. This development has positioned cancellation as the dominant outcome in trader consensus, as participants assess low prospects for a unified presidential candidate ahead of the 2027 election. Recent municipal election results, where partial alliances delivered gains in cities like Paris without full coordination, have underscored these fractures and reduced pressure for a joint primary ballot. If the process were revived, figures such as Marine Tondelier would face competition from challengers including François Ruffin amid ongoing coalition negotiations.
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
マーケット開始日： May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ET
音量
$51,369終了日
2026/10/11マーケット開始日
May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Internal divisions among France's left-wing parties, including tensions between La France Insoumise and other groups like the Socialists and Ecologists, have led to the dissolution of the planned United Left primary process originally set for October 2026. This development has positioned cancellation as the dominant outcome in trader consensus, as participants assess low prospects for a unified presidential candidate ahead of the 2027 election. Recent municipal election results, where partial alliances delivered gains in cities like Paris without full coordination, have underscored these fractures and reduced pressure for a joint primary ballot. If the process were revived, figures such as Marine Tondelier would face competition from challengers including François Ruffin amid ongoing coalition negotiations.
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$51,369終了日
2026/10/11マーケット開始日
May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Internal divisions among France's left-wing parties, including tensions between La France Insoumise and other groups like the Socialists and Ecologists, have led to the dissolution of the planned United Left primary process originally set for October 2026. This development has positioned cancellation as the dominant outcome in trader consensus, as participants assess low prospects for a unified presidential candidate ahead of the 2027 election. Recent municipal election results, where partial alliances delivered gains in cities like Paris without full coordination, have underscored these fractures and reduced pressure for a joint primary ballot. If the process were revived, figures such as Marine Tondelier would face competition from challengers including François Ruffin amid ongoing coalition negotiations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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