Peru's Justice Ministry under President Keiko Fujimori explicitly ruled out a presidential pardon or commutation for former President Pedro Castillo in August 2026, describing any such action as legally and politically impossible amid ongoing proceedings. The Presidential Pardons Commission had already declared an earlier request inadmissible in July 2026 under the prior interim administration. Castillo, convicted in November 2025 and sentenced to 11.5 years for rebellion and conspiracy related to his 2022 attempt to dissolve Congress, remains incarcerated at Barbadillo Prison. These official positions, combined with the lack of legislative or judicial momentum for clemency before year-end, underpin trader consensus that a 2026 pardon remains unlikely.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日27% 確率
$42,860 Vol.
$42,860 Vol.
2026/12/31
27% 確率
$42,860 Vol.
$42,860 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pedro Castillo receives a presidential pardon, commutation, right of grace, humanitarian pardon, or other formal grant of clemency from the President of Peru by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying grant of clemency must be officially issued by the President of Peru and must relieve Castillo, in whole or in part, from criminal liability, criminal proceedings, conviction, sentence, or criminal penalties in connection with any criminal case.
A qualifying grant of clemency will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later challenged, revoked, annulled, or declared invalid.
Court rulings, acquittals, dismissals, legislative amnesties, prosecutorial decisions, prison transfers, releases from custody, or other actions that do not involve a formal presidential grant of clemency will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Peru. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Peru's Justice Ministry under President Keiko Fujimori explicitly ruled out a presidential pardon or commutation for former President Pedro Castillo in August 2026, describing any such action as legally and politically impossible amid ongoing proceedings. The Presidential Pardons Commission had already declared an earlier request inadmissible in July 2026 under the prior interim administration. Castillo, convicted in November 2025 and sentenced to 11.5 years for rebellion and conspiracy related to his 2022 attempt to dissolve Congress, remains incarcerated at Barbadillo Prison. These official positions, combined with the lack of legislative or judicial momentum for clemency before year-end, underpin trader consensus that a 2026 pardon remains unlikely.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pedro Castillo receives a presidential pardon, commutation, right of grace, humanitarian pardon, or other formal grant of clemency from the President of Peru by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying grant of clemency must be officially issued by the President of Peru and must relieve Castillo, in whole or in part, from criminal liability, criminal proceedings, conviction, sentence, or criminal penalties in connection with any criminal case.
A qualifying grant of clemency will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later challenged, revoked, annulled, or declared invalid.
Court rulings, acquittals, dismissals, legislative amnesties, prosecutorial decisions, prison transfers, releases from custody, or other actions that do not involve a formal presidential grant of clemency will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Peru. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying grant of clemency must be officially issued by the President of Peru and must relieve Castillo, in whole or in part, from criminal liability, criminal proceedings, conviction, sentence, or criminal penalties in connection with any criminal case.
A qualifying grant of clemency will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later challenged, revoked, annulled, or declared invalid.
Court rulings, acquittals, dismissals, legislative amnesties, prosecutorial decisions, prison transfers, releases from custody, or other actions that do not involve a formal presidential grant of clemency will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Peru. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jun 9, 2026, 7:32 PM ET
音量
$42,860終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jun 9, 2026, 7:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pedro Castillo receives a presidential pardon, commutation, right of grace, humanitarian pardon, or other formal grant of clemency from the President of Peru by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying grant of clemency must be officially issued by the President of Peru and must relieve Castillo, in whole or in part, from criminal liability, criminal proceedings, conviction, sentence, or criminal penalties in connection with any criminal case.
A qualifying grant of clemency will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later challenged, revoked, annulled, or declared invalid.
Court rulings, acquittals, dismissals, legislative amnesties, prosecutorial decisions, prison transfers, releases from custody, or other actions that do not involve a formal presidential grant of clemency will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Peru. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Peru's Justice Ministry under President Keiko Fujimori explicitly ruled out a presidential pardon or commutation for former President Pedro Castillo in August 2026, describing any such action as legally and politically impossible amid ongoing proceedings. The Presidential Pardons Commission had already declared an earlier request inadmissible in July 2026 under the prior interim administration. Castillo, convicted in November 2025 and sentenced to 11.5 years for rebellion and conspiracy related to his 2022 attempt to dissolve Congress, remains incarcerated at Barbadillo Prison. These official positions, combined with the lack of legislative or judicial momentum for clemency before year-end, underpin trader consensus that a 2026 pardon remains unlikely.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pedro Castillo receives a presidential pardon, commutation, right of grace, humanitarian pardon, or other formal grant of clemency from the President of Peru by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying grant of clemency must be officially issued by the President of Peru and must relieve Castillo, in whole or in part, from criminal liability, criminal proceedings, conviction, sentence, or criminal penalties in connection with any criminal case.
A qualifying grant of clemency will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later challenged, revoked, annulled, or declared invalid.
Court rulings, acquittals, dismissals, legislative amnesties, prosecutorial decisions, prison transfers, releases from custody, or other actions that do not involve a formal presidential grant of clemency will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Peru. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying grant of clemency must be officially issued by the President of Peru and must relieve Castillo, in whole or in part, from criminal liability, criminal proceedings, conviction, sentence, or criminal penalties in connection with any criminal case.
A qualifying grant of clemency will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later challenged, revoked, annulled, or declared invalid.
Court rulings, acquittals, dismissals, legislative amnesties, prosecutorial decisions, prison transfers, releases from custody, or other actions that do not involve a formal presidential grant of clemency will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Peru. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$42,860終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jun 9, 2026, 7:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Peru's Justice Ministry under President Keiko Fujimori explicitly ruled out a presidential pardon or commutation for former President Pedro Castillo in August 2026, describing any such action as legally and politically impossible amid ongoing proceedings. The Presidential Pardons Commission had already declared an earlier request inadmissible in July 2026 under the prior interim administration. Castillo, convicted in November 2025 and sentenced to 11.5 years for rebellion and conspiracy related to his 2022 attempt to dissolve Congress, remains incarcerated at Barbadillo Prison. These official positions, combined with the lack of legislative or judicial momentum for clemency before year-end, underpin trader consensus that a 2026 pardon remains unlikely.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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