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icon for トランプ大統領は2027年までに誰を恩赦するのか?

トランプ大統領は2027年までに誰を恩赦するのか?

icon for トランプ大統領は2027年までに誰を恩赦するのか?

トランプ大統領は2027年までに誰を恩赦するのか?

$218,740 Vol.

2026/12/31
Polymarket

$218,740 Vol.

Polymarket

マット・ゲーツ

$37 Vol.

50%

ドナルド・ブロディ

$0 Vol.

50%

ステファン・ブロディ

$16 Vol.

44%

ダニエル・ペニー

$11 Vol.

42%

キオン・ロドリゲス

$9,371 Vol.

35%

ボブ・メネンデス

$108 Vol.

34%

スティーブ・バノン

$6,792 Vol.

27%

エリック・アダムズ

$106 Vol.

16%

ロジャー・ヴェア

$418 Vol.

33%

ジュリアン・アサンジ

$1,550 Vol.

13%

ライアン・サラメ

$15,206 Vol.

13%

ギレーヌ・マクスウェル

$13,573 Vol.

13%

エリザベス・ホームズ

$1,130 Vol.

10%

ニコラス・マドゥロ

$6,768 Vol.

10%

サム・バンクマン=フリード

$36,621 Vol.

8%

本人

$3,978 Vol.

8%

ド・クォン

$16,325 Vol.

8%

エドワード・スノーデン

$1,755 Vol.

7%

ジョー・エキゾチック

$330 Vol.

7%

マーティン・シュクレリ

$22,458 Vol.

7%

ディディ

$7,527 Vol.

6%

デレク・ショーヴィン

$18,473 Vol.

6%

ヤング・サグ

$4,269 Vol.

4%

アントワーヌ・マッシー

$0 Vol.

7%

ハンター・バイデン

$2,046 Vol.

4%

イーロン・マスク

$49,873 Vol.

3%

ロジャー・ストーン

$0 Vol.

37%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 16, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 4, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump has already granted blanket pardons to roughly 1,500 January 6 defendants on his first day back in office in January 2025, along with commutations for several leaders of groups like the Oath Keepers and Proud Boys. Additional clemency followed for 2020 alternate electors including Rudy Giuliani and others, plus dozens of individual pardons for allies, donors, and white-collar offenders such as Ross Ulbricht and Changpeng Zhao. Recent reports indicate the White House is weighing another large batch of up to 250 pardons tied to the nation’s 250th anniversary celebrations in summer 2026, while the pace of grants has slowed since early February. Traders are watching for further actions before the 2027 cutoff, particularly any mass releases for remaining political figures or supporters.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$218,740
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 16, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 4, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump has already granted blanket pardons to roughly 1,500 January 6 defendants on his first day back in office in January 2025, along with commutations for several leaders of groups like the Oath Keepers and Proud Boys. Additional clemency followed for 2020 alternate electors including Rudy Giuliani and others, plus dozens of individual pardons for allies, donors, and white-collar offenders such as Ross Ulbricht and Changpeng Zhao. Recent reports indicate the White House is weighing another large batch of up to 250 pardons tied to the nation’s 250th anniversary celebrations in summer 2026, while the pace of grants has slowed since early February. Traders are watching for further actions before the 2027 cutoff, particularly any mass releases for remaining political figures or supporters.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$218,740
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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よくある質問

「トランプ大統領は2027年までに誰を恩赦するのか?」はPolymarket上の27個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「マット・ゲーツ」で50%、次いで「ドナルド・ブロディ」が50%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、50¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に50%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「トランプ大統領は2027年までに誰を恩赦するのか?」は$218.7Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Nov 18, 2025のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「トランプ大統領は2027年までに誰を恩赦するのか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている27個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「トランプ大統領は2027年までに誰を恩赦するのか?」の現在のフロントランナーは「マット・ゲーツ」で50%であり、市場がこの結果に50%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ドナルド・ブロディ」で50%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「トランプ大統領は2027年までに誰を恩赦するのか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。