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icon for トランプ大統領は2027年までに誰を恩赦するのか?

トランプ大統領は2027年までに誰を恩赦するのか?

icon for トランプ大統領は2027年までに誰を恩赦するのか?

トランプ大統領は2027年までに誰を恩赦するのか?

$438,418 Vol.

2026/12/31
Polymarket

$438,418 Vol.

Polymarket

ライアン・サラメ

$29,918 Vol.

26%

ステファン・ブロディ

$2,642 Vol.

24%

ドナルド・ブロディ

$1,873 Vol.

22%

マット・ゲーツ

$3,877 Vol.

21%

キオン・ロドリゲス

$17,506 Vol.

19%

ロジャー・ストーン

$4,205 Vol.

16%

スティーブ・バノン

$8,024 Vol.

11%

ヤング・サグ

$4,440 Vol.

11%

ダニエル・ペニー

$508 Vol.

11%

エリック・アダムズ

$1,101 Vol.

9%

ジョー・エキゾチック

$5,369 Vol.

9%

ロジャー・ヴェア

$1,593 Vol.

8%

アンドリュー・テート

$236 Vol.

7%

ボブ・メネンデス

$295 Vol.

7%

ジュリアン・アサンジ

$3,557 Vol.

6%

デレク・ショーヴィン

$24,970 Vol.

6%

ニコラス・マドゥロ

$9,491 Vol.

6%

マーティン・シュクレリ

$29,723 Vol.

6%

エリザベス・ホームズ

$3,571 Vol.

5%

ギレーヌ・マクスウェル

$22,824 Vol.

5%

エドワード・スノーデン

$3,163 Vol.

4%

ディディ

$29,179 Vol.

4%

本人

$13,643 Vol.

4%

サム・バンクマン=フリード

$132,209 Vol.

4%

アントワーヌ・マッシー

$2,480 Vol.

3%

ド・クォン

$23,620 Vol.

3%

ハンター・バイデン

$5,483 Vol.

3%

イーロン・マスク

$52,917 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 4, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 16, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump has already granted clemency to more than 1,700 individuals in his second term, including blanket pardons for roughly 1,500 January 6 defendants on inauguration day and preemptive relief for dozens tied to the 2020 fake electors effort. Clemency decisions have frequently bypassed standard Justice Department review in favor of advocacy by Trump allies and donors, with recipients often linked to political contributions or personal connections. The administration has floated a “250 pardons for 250 years” initiative tied to the nation’s semiquincentennial in July 2026, while Trump has publicly referenced shielding aides and associates before the end of his term. These patterns, combined with the market’s December 31, 2026 resolution date, frame trader assessments of which additional figures may receive relief in the remaining months.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$438,418
終了日
2027/01/01
マーケット開始日
Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 4, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 16, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump has already granted clemency to more than 1,700 individuals in his second term, including blanket pardons for roughly 1,500 January 6 defendants on inauguration day and preemptive relief for dozens tied to the 2020 fake electors effort. Clemency decisions have frequently bypassed standard Justice Department review in favor of advocacy by Trump allies and donors, with recipients often linked to political contributions or personal connections. The administration has floated a “250 pardons for 250 years” initiative tied to the nation’s semiquincentennial in July 2026, while Trump has publicly referenced shielding aides and associates before the end of his term. These patterns, combined with the market’s December 31, 2026 resolution date, frame trader assessments of which additional figures may receive relief in the remaining months.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$438,418
終了日
2027/01/01
マーケット開始日
Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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よくある質問

「トランプ大統領は2027年までに誰を恩赦するのか?」はPolymarket上の28個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ライアン・サラメ」で26%、次いで「ステファン・ブロディ」が24%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、26¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に26%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「トランプ大統領は2027年までに誰を恩赦するのか?」は$438.4Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Nov 18, 2025のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「トランプ大統領は2027年までに誰を恩赦するのか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている28個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「トランプ大統領は2027年までに誰を恩赦するのか?」の現在のフロントランナーは「ライアン・サラメ」で26%であり、市場がこの結果に26%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ステファン・ブロディ」で24%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「トランプ大統領は2027年までに誰を恩赦するのか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。