Recent polling shows President Trump's job approval near second-term lows around 37-41%, with net ratings in the -17 to -24 range amid persistent concerns over inflation, economic management, and foreign policy developments including Iran. Weekly movement remains closely balanced as traders weigh the impact of fresh survey releases against any stabilizing signals from administration actions or economic indicators. Factors such as partisan polarization, responses to policy announcements, and shifts in independent voter sentiment create the even odds, while scheduled data releases or diplomatic updates in the coming days could shift the short-term trajectory either direction.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日上昇
新規
新規
2026/07/24
上昇
新規
新規
2026/07/24
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on July 24, 2026, than on July 17, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on July 17, 2026, than on July 24, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling shows President Trump's job approval near second-term lows around 37-41%, with net ratings in the -17 to -24 range amid persistent concerns over inflation, economic management, and foreign policy developments including Iran. Weekly movement remains closely balanced as traders weigh the impact of fresh survey releases against any stabilizing signals from administration actions or economic indicators. Factors such as partisan polarization, responses to policy announcements, and shifts in independent voter sentiment create the even odds, while scheduled data releases or diplomatic updates in the coming days could shift the short-term trajectory either direction.
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on July 24, 2026, than on July 17, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on July 17, 2026, than on July 24, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on July 17, 2026, than on July 24, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
マーケット開始日： Jul 17, 2026, 7:06 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/07/24マーケット開始日
Jul 17, 2026, 7:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on July 24, 2026, than on July 17, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on July 17, 2026, than on July 24, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling shows President Trump's job approval near second-term lows around 37-41%, with net ratings in the -17 to -24 range amid persistent concerns over inflation, economic management, and foreign policy developments including Iran. Weekly movement remains closely balanced as traders weigh the impact of fresh survey releases against any stabilizing signals from administration actions or economic indicators. Factors such as partisan polarization, responses to policy announcements, and shifts in independent voter sentiment create the even odds, while scheduled data releases or diplomatic updates in the coming days could shift the short-term trajectory either direction.
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on July 24, 2026, than on July 17, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on July 17, 2026, than on July 24, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on July 17, 2026, than on July 24, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
音量
$0終了日
2026/07/24マーケット開始日
Jul 17, 2026, 7:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent polling shows President Trump's job approval near second-term lows around 37-41%, with net ratings in the -17 to -24 range amid persistent concerns over inflation, economic management, and foreign policy developments including Iran. Weekly movement remains closely balanced as traders weigh the impact of fresh survey releases against any stabilizing signals from administration actions or economic indicators. Factors such as partisan polarization, responses to policy announcements, and shifts in independent voter sentiment create the even odds, while scheduled data releases or diplomatic updates in the coming days could shift the short-term trajectory either direction.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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