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icon for ネタニヤフ氏は6月30日までに恩赦を受けるか?

ネタニヤフ氏は6月30日までに恩赦を受けるか?

icon for ネタニヤフ氏は6月30日までに恩赦を受けるか?

ネタニヤフ氏は6月30日までに恩赦を受けるか?

はい

10% 確率
Polymarket

$321,398 Vol.

はい

10% 確率
Polymarket

$321,398 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from Israeli President Isaac Herzog for any charges by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Isaac Herzog has signaled he will not consider Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s pardon request in his ongoing corruption trial until all efforts to negotiate a plea deal have been exhausted, a position formalized in late April 2026 after months of deliberation. This approach prioritizes mediation between Netanyahu’s legal team and the Attorney General over an immediate presidential decision, creating a procedural timeline that makes action by the June 30 deadline improbable. External pressure from U.S. officials has not altered Herzog’s stated preference for resolving the cases through agreement rather than clemency. Trader consensus at 89 percent against a pardon by that date reflects these institutional steps and the absence of any fast-track mechanism under Israeli law.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from Israeli President Isaac Herzog for any charges by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$321,398
終了日
2026/06/30
マーケット開始日
Mar 9, 2026, 6:21 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from Israeli President Isaac Herzog for any charges by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from Israeli President Isaac Herzog for any charges by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Isaac Herzog has signaled he will not consider Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s pardon request in his ongoing corruption trial until all efforts to negotiate a plea deal have been exhausted, a position formalized in late April 2026 after months of deliberation. This approach prioritizes mediation between Netanyahu’s legal team and the Attorney General over an immediate presidential decision, creating a procedural timeline that makes action by the June 30 deadline improbable. External pressure from U.S. officials has not altered Herzog’s stated preference for resolving the cases through agreement rather than clemency. Trader consensus at 89 percent against a pardon by that date reflects these institutional steps and the absence of any fast-track mechanism under Israeli law.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from Israeli President Isaac Herzog for any charges by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$321,398
終了日
2026/06/30
マーケット開始日
Mar 9, 2026, 6:21 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from Israeli President Isaac Herzog for any charges by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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よくある質問

「ネタニヤフ氏は6月30日までに恩赦を受けるか?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ネタニヤフは6月30日までに恩赦されるでしょうか?」で10%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、10¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に10%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「ネタニヤフ氏は6月30日までに恩赦を受けるか?」は$321.4Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Mar 9, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「ネタニヤフ氏は6月30日までに恩赦を受けるか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ネタニヤフ氏は6月30日までに恩赦を受けるか?」の現在のフロントランナーは「ネタニヤフは6月30日までに恩赦されるでしょうか?」で10%であり、市場がこの結果に10%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ネタニヤフ氏は6月30日までに恩赦を受けるか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。