Trader consensus clusters around 160-219 tweets for Elon Musk during the August 18-25 window, reflecting his consistent high-volume posting pattern on X as both owner and primary voice. Baseline activity typically ranges 20-35 posts daily amid company updates, regulatory commentary, and real-time reactions, with the tight spread across leading bins underscoring uncertainty over whether routine engagement or an external spark will push totals higher. No major confirmed Tesla, SpaceX, or X-related announcements anchor the near-term period, leaving room for volatility from breaking news cycles or viral threads. Historical weekly peaks often tie to product milestones or policy debates, positioning the market-implied odds as a skin-in-the-game read on steady-state behavior rather than an outlier surge.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日180-199 21%
160-179 20%
200-219 19%
140-159 15%
$137,153 Vol.
$137,153 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
1%
100-119
2%
120-139
6%
140-159
15%
160-179
20%
180-199
21%
200-219
19%
220-239
10%
240-259
6%
260-279
3%
280-299
2%
300-319
1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
180-199 21%
160-179 20%
200-219 19%
140-159 15%
$137,153 Vol.
$137,153 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
1%
100-119
2%
120-139
6%
140-159
15%
160-179
20%
180-199
21%
200-219
19%
220-239
10%
240-259
6%
260-279
3%
280-299
2%
300-319
1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
マーケット開始日： Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters around 160-219 tweets for Elon Musk during the August 18-25 window, reflecting his consistent high-volume posting pattern on X as both owner and primary voice. Baseline activity typically ranges 20-35 posts daily amid company updates, regulatory commentary, and real-time reactions, with the tight spread across leading bins underscoring uncertainty over whether routine engagement or an external spark will push totals higher. No major confirmed Tesla, SpaceX, or X-related announcements anchor the near-term period, leaving room for volatility from breaking news cycles or viral threads. Historical weekly peaks often tie to product milestones or policy debates, positioning the market-implied odds as a skin-in-the-game read on steady-state behavior rather than an outlier surge.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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