Avengers: Doomsday commands the strongest trader consensus for the largest 2026 opening weekend, driven by its prime December 18 holiday slot and status as a major MCU event reuniting Robert Downey Jr. with the Russo brothers alongside an expansive cast including X-Men and Fantastic Four characters. This timing and franchise momentum create strong pre-release tracking expectations for record-breaking numbers, reinforced by early industry polls and teaser buzz positioning it as a year-end tentpole. Spider-Man: Brand New Day trails as the next contender with its July 31 summer release and recent trailer momentum, while family-oriented releases like Toy Story 5 in June and The Super Mario Galaxy Movie face steeper competition for the absolute biggest debut despite solid animated appeal. Other titles such as Dune: Messiah and The Odyssey remain long shots given current release positioning and historical patterns for non-franchise event films.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?
Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?
Avengers: Doomsday 71%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 22%
Toy Story 5 4.0%
The Odyssey 1.0%
$1,668,017 Vol.
$1,668,017 Vol.
2026/12/31
Avengers: Doomsday
71%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
22%
Toy Story 5
4%
The Odyssey
1%
Dune: Messiah
1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
<1%
Avengers: Doomsday 71%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 22%
Toy Story 5 4.0%
The Odyssey 1.0%
$1,668,017 Vol.
$1,668,017 Vol.
2026/12/31
Avengers: Doomsday
$140,365 Vol.
71%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
$54,122 Vol.
22%
Toy Story 5
$205,398 Vol.
4%
The Odyssey
$158,732 Vol.
1%
Dune: Messiah
$91,967 Vol.
1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
$65,488 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Avengers: Doomsday commands the strongest trader consensus for the largest 2026 opening weekend, driven by its prime December 18 holiday slot and status as a major MCU event reuniting Robert Downey Jr. with the Russo brothers alongside an expansive cast including X-Men and Fantastic Four characters. This timing and franchise momentum create strong pre-release tracking expectations for record-breaking numbers, reinforced by early industry polls and teaser buzz positioning it as a year-end tentpole. Spider-Man: Brand New Day trails as the next contender with its July 31 summer release and recent trailer momentum, while family-oriented releases like Toy Story 5 in June and The Super Mario Galaxy Movie face steeper competition for the absolute biggest debut despite solid animated appeal. Other titles such as Dune: Messiah and The Odyssey remain long shots given current release positioning and historical patterns for non-franchise event films.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
マーケット開始日： Nov 12, 2025, 5:18 PM ET
音量
$1,668,017終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 12, 2025, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Avengers: Doomsday commands the strongest trader consensus for the largest 2026 opening weekend, driven by its prime December 18 holiday slot and status as a major MCU event reuniting Robert Downey Jr. with the Russo brothers alongside an expansive cast including X-Men and Fantastic Four characters. This timing and franchise momentum create strong pre-release tracking expectations for record-breaking numbers, reinforced by early industry polls and teaser buzz positioning it as a year-end tentpole. Spider-Man: Brand New Day trails as the next contender with its July 31 summer release and recent trailer momentum, while family-oriented releases like Toy Story 5 in June and The Super Mario Galaxy Movie face steeper competition for the absolute biggest debut despite solid animated appeal. Other titles such as Dune: Messiah and The Odyssey remain long shots given current release positioning and historical patterns for non-franchise event films.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
音量
$1,668,017終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 12, 2025, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Avengers: Doomsday commands the strongest trader consensus for the largest 2026 opening weekend, driven by its prime December 18 holiday slot and status as a major MCU event reuniting Robert Downey Jr. with the Russo brothers alongside an expansive cast including X-Men and Fantastic Four characters. This timing and franchise momentum create strong pre-release tracking expectations for record-breaking numbers, reinforced by early industry polls and teaser buzz positioning it as a year-end tentpole. Spider-Man: Brand New Day trails as the next contender with its July 31 summer release and recent trailer momentum, while family-oriented releases like Toy Story 5 in June and The Super Mario Galaxy Movie face steeper competition for the absolute biggest debut despite solid animated appeal. Other titles such as Dune: Messiah and The Odyssey remain long shots given current release positioning and historical patterns for non-franchise event films.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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