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Next James Bond actor?

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Next James Bond actor?

Callum Turner 43%

Jacob Elordi 12%

No Bond chosen 8%

James Norton 7%

Polymarket
新規

Callum Turner 43%

Jacob Elordi 12%

No Bond chosen 8%

James Norton 7%

Polymarket
新規

Callum Turner

$153 Vol.

36%

Jacob Elordi

$106 Vol.

12%

No Bond chosen

$107 Vol.

8%

James Norton

$124 Vol.

7%

Harris Dickinson

$123 Vol.

6%

Jack Lowdon

$94 Vol.

6%

Tom Holland

$87 Vol.

6%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson

$364 Vol.

6%

Robert James-Collier

$85 Vol.

6%

Henry Cavill

$89 Vol.

4%

Josh O'Connor

$1,524 Vol.

4%

Theo James

$178 Vol.

3%

Paul Mescal

$128 Vol.

3%

Tom Hardy

$85 Vol.

3%

Timothee Chalamet

$116 Vol.

3%

Michael B Jordan

$101 Vol.

3%

Pierce Brosnan

$139 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Callum Turner’s 35% market-implied probability reflects his status as the consensus frontrunner following Amazon MGM’s May 2026 confirmation that casting for the next 007—directed by Denis Villeneuve—has officially begun under veteran casting director Nina Gold. Recent British press coverage and betting-market movement have positioned the British actor, known for Masters of the Air and Fantastic Beasts, ahead of the pack due to his age, availability for a multi-film commitment, and longstanding speculation. Jacob Elordi’s recent Oscar nomination and reported meetings have lifted his profile, yet the field stays fragmented with no single alternative breaking double digits. Traders appear to be pricing in a deliberate, extended process that could extend well into late 2026 before any announcement.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$3,604
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Callum Turner’s 35% market-implied probability reflects his status as the consensus frontrunner following Amazon MGM’s May 2026 confirmation that casting for the next 007—directed by Denis Villeneuve—has officially begun under veteran casting director Nina Gold. Recent British press coverage and betting-market movement have positioned the British actor, known for Masters of the Air and Fantastic Beasts, ahead of the pack due to his age, availability for a multi-film commitment, and longstanding speculation. Jacob Elordi’s recent Oscar nomination and reported meetings have lifted his profile, yet the field stays fragmented with no single alternative breaking double digits. Traders appear to be pricing in a deliberate, extended process that could extend well into late 2026 before any announcement.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$3,604
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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よくある質問

「Next James Bond actor?」はPolymarket上の17個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Callum Turner」で36%、次いで「Jacob Elordi」が12%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、36¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に36%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「Next James Bond actor?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（May 18, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「Next James Bond actor?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている17個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Next James Bond actor?」の現在のフロントランナーは「Callum Turner」で36%であり、市場がこの結果に36%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Jacob Elordi」で12%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Next James Bond actor?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。