Julianne Moore’s commanding 64% market-implied probability stems from the rapturous Telluride reception for her lead role in Jesse Eisenberg’s musical dramedy *The Debut*, positioning her as the clear early frontrunner for the 99th Oscars. Industry predictors and traders highlight her career-best turn as the kind of prestige showcase the Academy rewards, especially for a past winner seeking a second trophy. Early buzz around Inde Navarrette’s breakout in *Obsession* and projects featuring Renate Reinsve, Sandra Hüller, and others keeps the broader field active at 50% or lower, but festival momentum has yet to shift consensus away from Moore. With nominations voting still months away and fall festivals pending, upcoming screenings and precursor awards will determine whether this lead holds or fragments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日オスカー2027 ：主演女優賞受賞
オスカー2027 ：主演女優賞受賞
Julianne Moore 64%
インディ・ナバレッテ 17%
Renate Reinsve 9%
Sandra Hüller 7.8%
$132,124 Vol.
$132,124 Vol.
2027/03/14
Julianne Moore
64%
インディ・ナバレッテ
17%
Renate Reinsve
9%
Sandra Hüller
8%
Virginie Efira
1%
Ruth Madeley
1%
Scarlett Johansson
1%
Rachel Brosnahan
1%
Léa Seydoux
<1%
Michelle Williams
<1%
Sophie Okonedo
<1%
Julianne Moore 64%
インディ・ナバレッテ 17%
Renate Reinsve 9%
Sandra Hüller 7.8%
$132,124 Vol.
$132,124 Vol.
2027/03/14
Julianne Moore
$88,488 Vol.
64%
インディ・ナバレッテ
$25,077 Vol.
17%
Renate Reinsve
$12,599 Vol.
9%
Sandra Hüller
$3,457 Vol.
8%
Virginie Efira
$173 Vol.
1%
Ruth Madeley
$711 Vol.
1%
Scarlett Johansson
$169 Vol.
1%
Rachel Brosnahan
$207 Vol.
1%
Léa Seydoux
$842 Vol.
<1%
Michelle Williams
$255 Vol.
<1%
Sophie Okonedo
$145 Vol.
<1%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Julianne Moore’s commanding 64% market-implied probability stems from the rapturous Telluride reception for her lead role in Jesse Eisenberg’s musical dramedy *The Debut*, positioning her as the clear early frontrunner for the 99th Oscars. Industry predictors and traders highlight her career-best turn as the kind of prestige showcase the Academy rewards, especially for a past winner seeking a second trophy. Early buzz around Inde Navarrette’s breakout in *Obsession* and projects featuring Renate Reinsve, Sandra Hüller, and others keeps the broader field active at 50% or lower, but festival momentum has yet to shift consensus away from Moore. With nominations voting still months away and fall festivals pending, upcoming screenings and precursor awards will determine whether this lead holds or fragments.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jul 28, 2026, 11:34 AM ET
音量
$132,124終了日
2027/03/14マーケット開始日
Jul 28, 2026, 11:34 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Julianne Moore’s commanding 64% market-implied probability stems from the rapturous Telluride reception for her lead role in Jesse Eisenberg’s musical dramedy *The Debut*, positioning her as the clear early frontrunner for the 99th Oscars. Industry predictors and traders highlight her career-best turn as the kind of prestige showcase the Academy rewards, especially for a past winner seeking a second trophy. Early buzz around Inde Navarrette’s breakout in *Obsession* and projects featuring Renate Reinsve, Sandra Hüller, and others keeps the broader field active at 50% or lower, but festival momentum has yet to shift consensus away from Moore. With nominations voting still months away and fall festivals pending, upcoming screenings and precursor awards will determine whether this lead holds or fragments.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$132,124終了日
2027/03/14マーケット開始日
Jul 28, 2026, 11:34 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Julianne Moore’s commanding 64% market-implied probability stems from the rapturous Telluride reception for her lead role in Jesse Eisenberg’s musical dramedy *The Debut*, positioning her as the clear early frontrunner for the 99th Oscars. Industry predictors and traders highlight her career-best turn as the kind of prestige showcase the Academy rewards, especially for a past winner seeking a second trophy. Early buzz around Inde Navarrette’s breakout in *Obsession* and projects featuring Renate Reinsve, Sandra Hüller, and others keeps the broader field active at 50% or lower, but festival momentum has yet to shift consensus away from Moore. With nominations voting still months away and fall festivals pending, upcoming screenings and precursor awards will determine whether this lead holds or fragments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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