**Strong critical reception and record-shattering early performance positioned "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" for a robust but declining third weekend, with the latest estimates landing at roughly $70 million domestically after a steep 51% drop from its second frame.** The Destin Daniel Cretton-directed MCU entry opened to a historic $360 million and followed with one of the biggest second weekends ever at around $145 million, fueled by Tom Holland and Zendaya's star power, positive reviews (89% on Rotten Tomatoes), and audience enthusiasm for its emotional depth and fresh story threads. Those factors built massive front-loaded momentum typical of tentpoles, yet the sharp third-weekend fall—still the second-best third weekend in history—reflects standard superhero drop patterns amid competition and audience saturation. Traders have heavily weighted the sub-$72 million bin as the most likely outcome based on this trajectory and comparable legs, with only slim odds assigned to higher brackets. The upcoming Monday tracking and final Sunday adjustments remain the key near-term catalysts for any last shifts in sentiment.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日「スパイダーマン：ブラン・ニュー・デイ」第3週末興行収入
「スパイダーマン：ブラン・ニュー・デイ」第3週末興行収入
72百万未満 82.8%
7200万〜7900万 15.0%
9300万ドル以上 <1%
79-86百万ドル <1%
$41,168 Vol.
$41,168 Vol.
2026/08/16
72百万未満
83%
7200万〜7900万
15%
79-86百万ドル
<1%
86-93百万
<1%
9300万ドル以上
<1%
72百万未満 82.8%
7200万〜7900万 15.0%
9300万ドル以上 <1%
79-86百万ドル <1%
$41,168 Vol.
$41,168 Vol.
2026/08/16
72百万未満
$25,061 Vol.
83%
7200万〜7900万
$8,061 Vol.
15%
79-86百万ドル
$5,055 Vol.
<1%
86-93百万
$1,577 Vol.
<1%
9300万ドル以上
$1,415 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 14 - August 16) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Strong critical reception and record-shattering early performance positioned "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" for a robust but declining third weekend, with the latest estimates landing at roughly $70 million domestically after a steep 51% drop from its second frame.**
The Destin Daniel Cretton-directed MCU entry opened to a historic $360 million and followed with one of the biggest second weekends ever at around $145 million, fueled by Tom Holland and Zendaya's star power, positive reviews (89% on Rotten Tomatoes), and audience enthusiasm for its emotional depth and fresh story threads. Those factors built massive front-loaded momentum typical of tentpoles, yet the sharp third-weekend fall—still the second-best third weekend in history—reflects standard superhero drop patterns amid competition and audience saturation. Traders have heavily weighted the sub-$72 million bin as the most likely outcome based on this trajectory and comparable legs, with only slim odds assigned to higher brackets. The upcoming Monday tracking and final Sunday adjustments remain the key near-term catalysts for any last shifts in sentiment.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 14 - August 16) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
マーケット開始日： Aug 12, 2026, 12:56 PM ET
音量
$41,168終了日
2026/08/16マーケット開始日
Aug 12, 2026, 12:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 14 - August 16) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Strong critical reception and record-shattering early performance positioned "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" for a robust but declining third weekend, with the latest estimates landing at roughly $70 million domestically after a steep 51% drop from its second frame.**
The Destin Daniel Cretton-directed MCU entry opened to a historic $360 million and followed with one of the biggest second weekends ever at around $145 million, fueled by Tom Holland and Zendaya's star power, positive reviews (89% on Rotten Tomatoes), and audience enthusiasm for its emotional depth and fresh story threads. Those factors built massive front-loaded momentum typical of tentpoles, yet the sharp third-weekend fall—still the second-best third weekend in history—reflects standard superhero drop patterns amid competition and audience saturation. Traders have heavily weighted the sub-$72 million bin as the most likely outcome based on this trajectory and comparable legs, with only slim odds assigned to higher brackets. The upcoming Monday tracking and final Sunday adjustments remain the key near-term catalysts for any last shifts in sentiment.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 14 - August 16) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
音量
$41,168終了日
2026/08/16マーケット開始日
Aug 12, 2026, 12:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Strong critical reception and record-shattering early performance positioned "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" for a robust but declining third weekend, with the latest estimates landing at roughly $70 million domestically after a steep 51% drop from its second frame.** The Destin Daniel Cretton-directed MCU entry opened to a historic $360 million and followed with one of the biggest second weekends ever at around $145 million, fueled by Tom Holland and Zendaya's star power, positive reviews (89% on Rotten Tomatoes), and audience enthusiasm for its emotional depth and fresh story threads. Those factors built massive front-loaded momentum typical of tentpoles, yet the sharp third-weekend fall—still the second-best third weekend in history—reflects standard superhero drop patterns amid competition and audience saturation. Traders have heavily weighted the sub-$72 million bin as the most likely outcome based on this trajectory and comparable legs, with only slim odds assigned to higher brackets. The upcoming Monday tracking and final Sunday adjustments remain the key near-term catalysts for any last shifts in sentiment.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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