Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Avengers: Doomsday with a 62.5% implied probability for 2026's biggest opening weekend, driven by explosive long-lead tracking reports from early May highlighting massive MCU event hype, Robert Downey Jr.'s Doctor Doom return, and the Russo brothers' direction—projected to shatter the current $97 million record set by the Michael Jackson biopic in late April. Christopher Nolan's The Odyssey trails at 41.7%, bolstered by its IMAX spectacle, star-studded cast including Matt Damon and Tom Holland, and prestige momentum from recent trailer buzz ahead of its July 17 release. Spider-Man: Brand New Day's 32% odds stem from its March trailer shattering view records, signaling $120 million-plus domestic potential on July 31, while Toy Story 5 eyes family audiences for a June 19 debut. The Super Mario Galaxy Movie's April opening fell short despite multi-week #1 runs, capping its 15.8% chances; watch presales and CinemaCon updates for shifts before summer blockbusters arrive.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Avengers: Doomsday 62%
The Odyssey 37.8%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 32%
Toy Story 5 19.2%
$12,840 Vol.
$12,840 Vol.
2026/12/31
Avengers: Doomsday
62%
The Odyssey
38%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
32%
Toy Story 5
19%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
13%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie
16%
Dune: Messiah
1%
Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu
1%
Avengers: Doomsday 62%
The Odyssey 37.8%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 32%
Toy Story 5 19.2%
$12,840 Vol.
$12,840 Vol.
2026/12/31
Avengers: Doomsday
$715 Vol.
62%
The Odyssey
$481 Vol.
38%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
$585 Vol.
32%
Toy Story 5
$459 Vol.
19%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
$448 Vol.
13%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie
$798 Vol.
16%
Dune: Messiah
$507 Vol.
1%
Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu
$482 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Avengers: Doomsday with a 62.5% implied probability for 2026's biggest opening weekend, driven by explosive long-lead tracking reports from early May highlighting massive MCU event hype, Robert Downey Jr.'s Doctor Doom return, and the Russo brothers' direction—projected to shatter the current $97 million record set by the Michael Jackson biopic in late April. Christopher Nolan's The Odyssey trails at 41.7%, bolstered by its IMAX spectacle, star-studded cast including Matt Damon and Tom Holland, and prestige momentum from recent trailer buzz ahead of its July 17 release. Spider-Man: Brand New Day's 32% odds stem from its March trailer shattering view records, signaling $120 million-plus domestic potential on July 31, while Toy Story 5 eyes family audiences for a June 19 debut. The Super Mario Galaxy Movie's April opening fell short despite multi-week #1 runs, capping its 15.8% chances; watch presales and CinemaCon updates for shifts before summer blockbusters arrive.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
マーケット開始日： Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
音量
$12,840終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Avengers: Doomsday with a 62.5% implied probability for 2026's biggest opening weekend, driven by explosive long-lead tracking reports from early May highlighting massive MCU event hype, Robert Downey Jr.'s Doctor Doom return, and the Russo brothers' direction—projected to shatter the current $97 million record set by the Michael Jackson biopic in late April. Christopher Nolan's The Odyssey trails at 41.7%, bolstered by its IMAX spectacle, star-studded cast including Matt Damon and Tom Holland, and prestige momentum from recent trailer buzz ahead of its July 17 release. Spider-Man: Brand New Day's 32% odds stem from its March trailer shattering view records, signaling $120 million-plus domestic potential on July 31, while Toy Story 5 eyes family audiences for a June 19 debut. The Super Mario Galaxy Movie's April opening fell short despite multi-week #1 runs, capping its 15.8% chances; watch presales and CinemaCon updates for shifts before summer blockbusters arrive.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
音量
$12,840終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Avengers: Doomsday with a 62.5% implied probability for 2026's biggest opening weekend, driven by explosive long-lead tracking reports from early May highlighting massive MCU event hype, Robert Downey Jr.'s Doctor Doom return, and the Russo brothers' direction—projected to shatter the current $97 million record set by the Michael Jackson biopic in late April. Christopher Nolan's The Odyssey trails at 41.7%, bolstered by its IMAX spectacle, star-studded cast including Matt Damon and Tom Holland, and prestige momentum from recent trailer buzz ahead of its July 17 release. Spider-Man: Brand New Day's 32% odds stem from its March trailer shattering view records, signaling $120 million-plus domestic potential on July 31, while Toy Story 5 eyes family audiences for a June 19 debut. The Super Mario Galaxy Movie's April opening fell short despite multi-week #1 runs, capping its 15.8% chances; watch presales and CinemaCon updates for shifts before summer blockbusters arrive.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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