Spider-Man: Brand New Day holds a commanding market lead at 74% implied probability due to the franchise’s consistent history of record-breaking opening weekends, fueled by extensive marketing campaigns and strong fan anticipation ahead of its 2026 release window. Avengers: Doomsday trails at 24% as another major Marvel event film, yet faces questions around release timing and competition within the same year. Lower-probability options like Toy Story 5, Dune: Messiah, and The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping reflect more modest tracking estimates tied to their respective genres and audience bases. Key upcoming catalysts include trailer drops, pre-sale data, and final release date confirmations that could shift momentum through the remainder of the year.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 74%
Avengers: Doomsday 24%
Toy Story 5 <1%
Dune: Messiah <1%
$65,352 Vol.
$65,352 Vol.
2026/12/31
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
74%
Avengers: Doomsday
24%
Toy Story 5
<1%
Dune: Messiah
<1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
<1%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 74%
Avengers: Doomsday 24%
Toy Story 5 <1%
Dune: Messiah <1%
$65,352 Vol.
$65,352 Vol.
2026/12/31
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
$15,481 Vol.
74%
Avengers: Doomsday
$17,777 Vol.
24%
Toy Story 5
$3,366 Vol.
<1%
Dune: Messiah
$3,178 Vol.
<1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
$3,404 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day holds a commanding market lead at 74% implied probability due to the franchise’s consistent history of record-breaking opening weekends, fueled by extensive marketing campaigns and strong fan anticipation ahead of its 2026 release window. Avengers: Doomsday trails at 24% as another major Marvel event film, yet faces questions around release timing and competition within the same year. Lower-probability options like Toy Story 5, Dune: Messiah, and The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping reflect more modest tracking estimates tied to their respective genres and audience bases. Key upcoming catalysts include trailer drops, pre-sale data, and final release date confirmations that could shift momentum through the remainder of the year.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
マーケット開始日： Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
音量
$65,352終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day holds a commanding market lead at 74% implied probability due to the franchise’s consistent history of record-breaking opening weekends, fueled by extensive marketing campaigns and strong fan anticipation ahead of its 2026 release window. Avengers: Doomsday trails at 24% as another major Marvel event film, yet faces questions around release timing and competition within the same year. Lower-probability options like Toy Story 5, Dune: Messiah, and The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping reflect more modest tracking estimates tied to their respective genres and audience bases. Key upcoming catalysts include trailer drops, pre-sale data, and final release date confirmations that could shift momentum through the remainder of the year.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
音量
$65,352終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Spider-Man: Brand New Day holds a commanding market lead at 74% implied probability due to the franchise’s consistent history of record-breaking opening weekends, fueled by extensive marketing campaigns and strong fan anticipation ahead of its 2026 release window. Avengers: Doomsday trails at 24% as another major Marvel event film, yet faces questions around release timing and competition within the same year. Lower-probability options like Toy Story 5, Dune: Messiah, and The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping reflect more modest tracking estimates tied to their respective genres and audience bases. Key upcoming catalysts include trailer drops, pre-sale data, and final release date confirmations that could shift momentum through the remainder of the year.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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