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米国で取引するにはpolymarket.us

icon for イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年8月14日〜8月21日?

イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年8月14日〜8月21日?

icon for イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年8月14日〜8月21日?

イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年8月14日〜8月21日?

240-259 100.0%

<20 <1%

20-39 <1%

40-59 <1%

Polymarket

$5,584,552 Vol.

240-259 100.0%

<20 <1%

20-39 <1%

40-59 <1%

Polymarket

$5,584,552 Vol.

<20

$2,883 Vol.

No

20-39

$1,883 Vol.

No

40-59

$22,883 Vol.

No

60-79

$112,262 Vol.

No

80-99

$210,546 Vol.

No

100-119

$234,454 Vol.

No

120-139

$216,425 Vol.

No

140-159

$205,470 Vol.

No

160-179

$283,001 Vol.

No

180-199

$363,781 Vol.

No

200-219

$440,366 Vol.

No

220-239

$409,184 Vol.

No

240-259

$558,196 Vol.

Yes

260-279

$462,405 Vol.

No

280-299

$482,299 Vol.

No

300-319

$426,770 Vol.

No

320-339

$350,641 Vol.

No

340-359

$231,376 Vol.

No

360-379

$174,317 Vol.

No

380-399

$117,030 Vol.

No

400-419

$112,055 Vol.

No

420-439

$31,195 Vol.

No

440-459

$42,643 Vol.

No

460-479

$28,658 Vol.

No

480-499

$8,658 Vol.

No

500+

$55,173 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 14 12:00 PM ET to August 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's established posting cadence on X has driven overwhelming trader consensus toward the 240-259 tweet range for August 14-21, 2026, reflecting his typical daily output of roughly 35-40 posts when not on extended breaks. This bin captures the platform's historical weekly averages during periods without major travel, regulatory hearings, or product launches that might spike or suppress activity. With the market window closing, the near-100% implied probability underscores how consistently Musk's verified account has tracked in this zone absent sudden shifts in schedule or external events. An upset to adjacent ranges would require an abrupt change, such as a multi-day pause or unusually intense engagement around breaking news.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 14 12:00 PM ET to August 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 14 12:00 PM ET to August 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$5,584,552
終了日
2026/08/21
マーケット開始日
Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

結算ソース

https://x.com/elonmusk

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...

提案された結果: No

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: No

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 14 12:00 PM ET to August 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's established posting cadence on X has driven overwhelming trader consensus toward the 240-259 tweet range for August 14-21, 2026, reflecting his typical daily output of roughly 35-40 posts when not on extended breaks. This bin captures the platform's historical weekly averages during periods without major travel, regulatory hearings, or product launches that might spike or suppress activity. With the market window closing, the near-100% implied probability underscores how consistently Musk's verified account has tracked in this zone absent sudden shifts in schedule or external events. An upset to adjacent ranges would require an abrupt change, such as a multi-day pause or unusually intense engagement around breaking news.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 14 12:00 PM ET to August 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 14 12:00 PM ET to August 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$5,584,552
終了日
2026/08/21
マーケット開始日
Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

結算ソース

https://x.com/elonmusk

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...

提案された結果: No

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: No

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年8月14日〜8月21日?」はPolymarket上の26個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「240-259」で100%、次いで「<20」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年8月14日〜8月21日?」は$5.6 millionの総取引量を生み出しています(Aug 11, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年8月14日〜8月21日?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている26個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年8月14日〜8月21日?」の現在のフロントランナーは「240-259」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「<20」で0%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年8月14日〜8月21日?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。