Daniel Vilela (MDB), the incumbent who assumed the governorship in March 2026 following Ronaldo Caiado’s resignation, holds a commanding lead in recent polling averages for the October 4 first-round vote, with support in the high 30s to mid-40s percent range against fragmented opposition. This positioning stems from his broad coalition spanning MDB, PSD, Republicanos and others, combined with the high approval ratings of the prior Caiado administration (often exceeding 80 percent) and Vilela’s own lower rejection numbers. Recent campaign activity has emphasized continuity through technology initiatives for wildfire response and public-transport subsidies, reinforcing the continuity narrative. Marconi Perillo (PSDB) and Wilder Morais (PL) trail significantly in both first- and second-round simulations, with no polling shifts in the past month sufficient to alter the gap. Late developments such as turnout surprises or unforeseen legal rulings on alliances remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ダニエル・ヴィレラ 96.6%
マルコーニ・ペリーロ 2.3%
ウィルダー・モライス <1%
アドリアナ・アコルシ <1%
$35,226 Vol.
$35,226 Vol.

ダニエル・ヴィレラ
97%

マルコーニ・ペリーロ
2%

ウィルダー・モライス
1%

アドリアナ・アコルシ
<1%

ヴァンデルラン・カルドーゾ
<1%
ダニエル・ヴィレラ 96.6%
マルコーニ・ペリーロ 2.3%
ウィルダー・モライス <1%
アドリアナ・アコルシ <1%
$35,226 Vol.
$35,226 Vol.

ダニエル・ヴィレラ
97%

マルコーニ・ペリーロ
2%

ウィルダー・モライス
1%

アドリアナ・アコルシ
<1%

ヴァンデルラン・カルドーゾ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日: Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Daniel Vilela (MDB), the incumbent who assumed the governorship in March 2026 following Ronaldo Caiado’s resignation, holds a commanding lead in recent polling averages for the October 4 first-round vote, with support in the high 30s to mid-40s percent range against fragmented opposition. This positioning stems from his broad coalition spanning MDB, PSD, Republicanos and others, combined with the high approval ratings of the prior Caiado administration (often exceeding 80 percent) and Vilela’s own lower rejection numbers. Recent campaign activity has emphasized continuity through technology initiatives for wildfire response and public-transport subsidies, reinforcing the continuity narrative. Marconi Perillo (PSDB) and Wilder Morais (PL) trail significantly in both first- and second-round simulations, with no polling shifts in the past month sufficient to alter the gap. Late developments such as turnout surprises or unforeseen legal rulings on alliances remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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