Skip to main content
icon for マラニョン州知事選挙の勝者
選挙·ブラジル

マラニョン州知事選挙の勝者

icon for マラニョン州知事選挙の勝者
選挙·ブラジル

マラニョン州知事選挙の勝者

エドゥアルド・ブライデ 45%

オルレアンス・ブランダン 36%

ラヘジオ・ボンフィム 11%

フェリペ・カマラオン 9%

Polymarket
新規

エドゥアルド・ブライデ 45%

オルレアンス・ブランダン 36%

ラヘジオ・ボンフィム 11%

フェリペ・カマラオン 9%

Polymarket
新規

エドゥアルド・ブライデ

$544 Vol.

45%

オルレアンス・ブランダン

$69 Vol.

36%

ラヘジオ・ボンフィム

$68 Vol.

11%

フェリペ・カマラオン

$64 Vol.

9%

エニルトン・ロドリゲス

$275 Vol.

6%

アンドレ・ルイス

$169 Vol.

4%

The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Braide maintains a polling edge in recent surveys for the 2026 Maranhão gubernatorial race, yet Orleans Brandão and a fragmented field keep implied probabilities tight around 44% and 36% respectively. Internal divisions within the left, including tensions between the Workers’ Party and outgoing governor Carlos Brandão’s MDB base, have complicated coalition-building ahead of first-round voting. Multiple polling firms show Braide ahead in most simulated ballots, while Brandão consolidates support among state machinery allies. Further candidate withdrawals, formal alliance announcements, or shifts in federal backing could widen gaps before October, as the race remains sensitive to turnout patterns in key municipalities and late-stage realignments among smaller parties.

The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$1,189
終了日
2026/10/05
マーケット開始日
Jun 12, 2026, 10:38 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Braide maintains a polling edge in recent surveys for the 2026 Maranhão gubernatorial race, yet Orleans Brandão and a fragmented field keep implied probabilities tight around 44% and 36% respectively. Internal divisions within the left, including tensions between the Workers’ Party and outgoing governor Carlos Brandão’s MDB base, have complicated coalition-building ahead of first-round voting. Multiple polling firms show Braide ahead in most simulated ballots, while Brandão consolidates support among state machinery allies. Further candidate withdrawals, formal alliance announcements, or shifts in federal backing could widen gaps before October, as the race remains sensitive to turnout patterns in key municipalities and late-stage realignments among smaller parties.

The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$1,189
終了日
2026/10/05
マーケット開始日
Jun 12, 2026, 10:38 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「マラニョン州知事選挙の勝者」はPolymarket上の6個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「エドゥアルド・ブライデ」で45%、次いで「オルレアンス・ブランダン」が36%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、45¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に45%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「マラニョン州知事選挙の勝者」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Jun 12, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「マラニョン州知事選挙の勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている6個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「マラニョン州知事選挙の勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「エドゥアルド・ブライデ」で45%であり、市場がこの結果に45%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「オルレアンス・ブランダン」で36%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「マラニョン州知事選挙の勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。