The 2026 Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial race features an open field after term-limited incumbent Eduardo Leite (PSD) exits, with first-round voting set for October 4. Luciano Zucco (PL) holds the strongest trader consensus, reflecting expectations of consolidation among center-right and conservative voters aligned with national PL dynamics and his profile as a federal deputy. Juliana Brizola (PDT) follows as the primary left-leaning challenger, supported by consistent polling near the top in first-round scenarios but trailing in implied win probability. Gabriel Souza (MDB), the sitting vice governor backed by the incumbent coalition, registers lower support, consistent with weaker early survey numbers. Recent July Quaest polling showed Brizola and Zucco statistically tied in first-round intentions around 22-24%, with debates and pre-campaign positioning highlighting the contest's competitive structure ahead of potential runoffs. Lower-probability options like Marcelo Maranata and Luis Carlos Heinze remain marginal amid limited momentum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Luciano Zucco 62%
Juliana Brizola 36%
Gabriel Souza 4.3%
Marcelo Maranata <1%
$89,958 Vol.
$89,958 Vol.
2026/10/04
Luciano Zucco
62%
Juliana Brizola
36%
Gabriel Souza
4%
Marcelo Maranata
<1%
Luis Carlos Heinze
<1%
Luciano Zucco 62%
Juliana Brizola 36%
Gabriel Souza 4.3%
Marcelo Maranata <1%
$89,958 Vol.
$89,958 Vol.
2026/10/04
Luciano Zucco
$39,688 Vol.
62%
Juliana Brizola
$32,429 Vol.
36%
Gabriel Souza
$9,082 Vol.
4%
Marcelo Maranata
$6,330 Vol.
<1%
Luis Carlos Heinze
$2,430 Vol.
<1%
The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The 2026 Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial race features an open field after term-limited incumbent Eduardo Leite (PSD) exits, with first-round voting set for October 4. Luciano Zucco (PL) holds the strongest trader consensus, reflecting expectations of consolidation among center-right and conservative voters aligned with national PL dynamics and his profile as a federal deputy. Juliana Brizola (PDT) follows as the primary left-leaning challenger, supported by consistent polling near the top in first-round scenarios but trailing in implied win probability. Gabriel Souza (MDB), the sitting vice governor backed by the incumbent coalition, registers lower support, consistent with weaker early survey numbers. Recent July Quaest polling showed Brizola and Zucco statistically tied in first-round intentions around 22-24%, with debates and pre-campaign positioning highlighting the contest's competitive structure ahead of potential runoffs. Lower-probability options like Marcelo Maranata and Luis Carlos Heinze remain marginal amid limited momentum.
The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日： May 28, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
音量
$89,958終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
May 28, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The 2026 Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial race features an open field after term-limited incumbent Eduardo Leite (PSD) exits, with first-round voting set for October 4. Luciano Zucco (PL) holds the strongest trader consensus, reflecting expectations of consolidation among center-right and conservative voters aligned with national PL dynamics and his profile as a federal deputy. Juliana Brizola (PDT) follows as the primary left-leaning challenger, supported by consistent polling near the top in first-round scenarios but trailing in implied win probability. Gabriel Souza (MDB), the sitting vice governor backed by the incumbent coalition, registers lower support, consistent with weaker early survey numbers. Recent July Quaest polling showed Brizola and Zucco statistically tied in first-round intentions around 22-24%, with debates and pre-campaign positioning highlighting the contest's competitive structure ahead of potential runoffs. Lower-probability options like Marcelo Maranata and Luis Carlos Heinze remain marginal amid limited momentum.
The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$89,958終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
May 28, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial race features an open field after term-limited incumbent Eduardo Leite (PSD) exits, with first-round voting set for October 4. Luciano Zucco (PL) holds the strongest trader consensus, reflecting expectations of consolidation among center-right and conservative voters aligned with national PL dynamics and his profile as a federal deputy. Juliana Brizola (PDT) follows as the primary left-leaning challenger, supported by consistent polling near the top in first-round scenarios but trailing in implied win probability. Gabriel Souza (MDB), the sitting vice governor backed by the incumbent coalition, registers lower support, consistent with weaker early survey numbers. Recent July Quaest polling showed Brizola and Zucco statistically tied in first-round intentions around 22-24%, with debates and pre-campaign positioning highlighting the contest's competitive structure ahead of potential runoffs. Lower-probability options like Marcelo Maranata and Luis Carlos Heinze remain marginal amid limited momentum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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