The 2026 Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial race remains tightly contested between PDT pre-candidate Juliana Brizola and PL pre-candidate Luciano Zucco, with early first-round polling showing them locked in a technical tie near 21-24% amid a fragmented field and elevated undecided shares. Incumbent Eduardo Leite is term-limited, opening the contest to a successor slate led by Gabriel Souza of the MDB-PSD centrist coalition alongside right-wing opposition from Zucco and left-leaning positioning from Brizola. Recent candidate debates and coalition-building efforts have yet to produce separation, while Brazilian electoral rules requiring a potential October 25 runoff amplify the importance of second-round matchups. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with modest volume underscoring the race's sensitivity to further polling shifts or alliance announcements before the October 4 first round.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Juliana Brizola 44%
Luciano Zucco 39%
Gabriel Souza 8.0%
Marcelo Maranata <1%
$64,370 Vol.
$64,370 Vol.
2026/10/04
Juliana Brizola
44%
Luciano Zucco
39%
Gabriel Souza
8%
Marcelo Maranata
<1%
Luis Carlos Heinze
<1%
Juliana Brizola 44%
Luciano Zucco 39%
Gabriel Souza 8.0%
Marcelo Maranata <1%
$64,370 Vol.
$64,370 Vol.
2026/10/04
Juliana Brizola
$27,399 Vol.
44%
Luciano Zucco
$24,800 Vol.
39%
Gabriel Souza
$5,517 Vol.
8%
Marcelo Maranata
$5,451 Vol.
<1%
Luis Carlos Heinze
$1,204 Vol.
<1%
The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The 2026 Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial race remains tightly contested between PDT pre-candidate Juliana Brizola and PL pre-candidate Luciano Zucco, with early first-round polling showing them locked in a technical tie near 21-24% amid a fragmented field and elevated undecided shares. Incumbent Eduardo Leite is term-limited, opening the contest to a successor slate led by Gabriel Souza of the MDB-PSD centrist coalition alongside right-wing opposition from Zucco and left-leaning positioning from Brizola. Recent candidate debates and coalition-building efforts have yet to produce separation, while Brazilian electoral rules requiring a potential October 25 runoff amplify the importance of second-round matchups. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with modest volume underscoring the race's sensitivity to further polling shifts or alliance announcements before the October 4 first round.
The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日： May 28, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
音量
$64,370終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
May 28, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The 2026 Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial race remains tightly contested between PDT pre-candidate Juliana Brizola and PL pre-candidate Luciano Zucco, with early first-round polling showing them locked in a technical tie near 21-24% amid a fragmented field and elevated undecided shares. Incumbent Eduardo Leite is term-limited, opening the contest to a successor slate led by Gabriel Souza of the MDB-PSD centrist coalition alongside right-wing opposition from Zucco and left-leaning positioning from Brizola. Recent candidate debates and coalition-building efforts have yet to produce separation, while Brazilian electoral rules requiring a potential October 25 runoff amplify the importance of second-round matchups. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with modest volume underscoring the race's sensitivity to further polling shifts or alliance announcements before the October 4 first round.
The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$64,370終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
May 28, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial race remains tightly contested between PDT pre-candidate Juliana Brizola and PL pre-candidate Luciano Zucco, with early first-round polling showing them locked in a technical tie near 21-24% amid a fragmented field and elevated undecided shares. Incumbent Eduardo Leite is term-limited, opening the contest to a successor slate led by Gabriel Souza of the MDB-PSD centrist coalition alongside right-wing opposition from Zucco and left-leaning positioning from Brizola. Recent candidate debates and coalition-building efforts have yet to produce separation, while Brazilian electoral rules requiring a potential October 25 runoff amplify the importance of second-round matchups. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with modest volume underscoring the race's sensitivity to further polling shifts or alliance announcements before the October 4 first round.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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