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icon for Flavio Bolsonaro副社長候補

Flavio Bolsonaro副社長候補

icon for Flavio Bolsonaro副社長候補

Flavio Bolsonaro副社長候補

アルフレド・ガスパール 91%

ダニエラ・マルケス 70%

テレーザ・クリスチーナ 12%

ダマレス・アルヴェス 9%

Polymarket
新規

アルフレド・ガスパール 91%

ダニエラ・マルケス 70%

テレーザ・クリスチーナ 12%

ダマレス・アルヴェス 9%

Polymarket
新規
icon for アルフレド・ガスパール

アルフレド・ガスパール

$182 Vol.

91%

icon for ダニエラ・マルケス

ダニエラ・マルケス

$335 Vol.

70%

icon for テレーザ・クリスチーナ

テレーザ・クリスチーナ

$128 Vol.

12%

icon for ダマレス・アルヴェス

ダマレス・アルヴェス

$73 Vol.

9%

icon for ジルソン・マシャド

ジルソン・マシャド

$73 Vol.

9%

icon for ロザナ・ヴァレ

ロザナ・ヴァレ

$73 Vol.

9%

icon for レナタ・アブレウ

レナタ・アブレウ

$73 Vol.

8%

icon for ビア・キシス

ビア・キシス

$66 Vol.

8%

icon for プリシラ・コスタ

プリシラ・コスタ

$218 Vol.

8%

icon for シモーネ・マルケット

シモーネ・マルケット

$81 Vol.

4%

icon for クラリッサ・テルシオ

クラリッサ・テルシオ

$108 Vol.

4%

icon for ミシェル・ボルソナロ

ミシェル・ボルソナロ

$107 Vol.

4%

icon for マルコス・ポンテス

マルコス・ポンテス

$177 Vol.

2%

icon for ロジェリオ・マリーニョ

ロジェリオ・マリーニョ

$784 Vol.

1%

icon for ジュリア・ザナッタ

ジュリア・ザナッタ

$60 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the first individual officially registered to be the Vice Presidential candidate of Flavio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazil presidential elections. An announcement of candidate selection will not alone qualify. If Flavio Bolsonaro does not officially file a registration request to contest the 2026 Brazil presidential elections by August 15, 2026, 11:59 Brasilia time, this market will resolve to “Other”. Any subsequent substitution, replacement, withdrawal, disqualification, or other change to the initially registered vice-presidential candidate will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Brazil, including the Superior Electoral Court (TSE, https://divulgacandcontas.tse.jus.br/).Flavio Bolsonaro’s August 5 announcement naming federal deputy Alfredo Gaspar (PL-AL) as his vice-presidential running mate for the October 2026 election has driven the sharp shift in trader probabilities, placing Gaspar at the top of the market. Gaspar emerged after weeks of internal Liberal Party discussions and unsuccessful outreach to higher-profile figures, including Senator Tereza Cristina and former Caixa chief Daniella Marques, whose parties declined to join the ticket. Earlier speculation had centered on names such as Bia Kicis, Michelle Bolsonaro, and Rosana Valle, yet those options faded once the party settled on Gaspar to consolidate its congressional base and emphasize security and anti-corruption themes. The announcement effectively resolved the selection process, leaving limited room for late changes before formal convention confirmation.

This market will resolve according to the first individual officially registered to be the Vice Presidential candidate of Flavio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazil presidential elections.

An announcement of candidate selection will not alone qualify.

If Flavio Bolsonaro does not officially file a registration request to contest the 2026 Brazil presidential elections by August 15, 2026, 11:59 Brasilia time, this market will resolve to “Other”.

Any subsequent substitution, replacement, withdrawal, disqualification, or other change to the initially registered vice-presidential candidate will not be considered.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Brazil, including the Superior Electoral Court (TSE, https://divulgacandcontas.tse.jus.br/).
音量
$2,538
終了日
2026/08/15
マーケット開始日
Aug 4, 2026, 12:08 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the first individual officially registered to be the Vice Presidential candidate of Flavio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazil presidential elections. An announcement of candidate selection will not alone qualify. If Flavio Bolsonaro does not officially file a registration request to contest the 2026 Brazil presidential elections by August 15, 2026, 11:59 Brasilia time, this market will resolve to “Other”. Any subsequent substitution, replacement, withdrawal, disqualification, or other change to the initially registered vice-presidential candidate will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Brazil, including the Superior Electoral Court (TSE, https://divulgacandcontas.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the first individual officially registered to be the Vice Presidential candidate of Flavio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazil presidential elections. An announcement of candidate selection will not alone qualify. If Flavio Bolsonaro does not officially file a registration request to contest the 2026 Brazil presidential elections by August 15, 2026, 11:59 Brasilia time, this market will resolve to “Other”. Any subsequent substitution, replacement, withdrawal, disqualification, or other change to the initially registered vice-presidential candidate will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Brazil, including the Superior Electoral Court (TSE, https://divulgacandcontas.tse.jus.br/).Flavio Bolsonaro’s August 5 announcement naming federal deputy Alfredo Gaspar (PL-AL) as his vice-presidential running mate for the October 2026 election has driven the sharp shift in trader probabilities, placing Gaspar at the top of the market. Gaspar emerged after weeks of internal Liberal Party discussions and unsuccessful outreach to higher-profile figures, including Senator Tereza Cristina and former Caixa chief Daniella Marques, whose parties declined to join the ticket. Earlier speculation had centered on names such as Bia Kicis, Michelle Bolsonaro, and Rosana Valle, yet those options faded once the party settled on Gaspar to consolidate its congressional base and emphasize security and anti-corruption themes. The announcement effectively resolved the selection process, leaving limited room for late changes before formal convention confirmation.

This market will resolve according to the first individual officially registered to be the Vice Presidential candidate of Flavio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazil presidential elections.

An announcement of candidate selection will not alone qualify.

If Flavio Bolsonaro does not officially file a registration request to contest the 2026 Brazil presidential elections by August 15, 2026, 11:59 Brasilia time, this market will resolve to “Other”.

Any subsequent substitution, replacement, withdrawal, disqualification, or other change to the initially registered vice-presidential candidate will not be considered.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Brazil, including the Superior Electoral Court (TSE, https://divulgacandcontas.tse.jus.br/).
音量
$2,538
終了日
2026/08/15
マーケット開始日
Aug 4, 2026, 12:08 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the first individual officially registered to be the Vice Presidential candidate of Flavio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazil presidential elections. An announcement of candidate selection will not alone qualify. If Flavio Bolsonaro does not officially file a registration request to contest the 2026 Brazil presidential elections by August 15, 2026, 11:59 Brasilia time, this market will resolve to “Other”. Any subsequent substitution, replacement, withdrawal, disqualification, or other change to the initially registered vice-presidential candidate will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Brazil, including the Superior Electoral Court (TSE, https://divulgacandcontas.tse.jus.br/).

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「Flavio Bolsonaro副社長候補」はPolymarket上の15個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「アルフレド・ガスパール」で91%、次いで「ダニエラ・マルケス」が35%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、91¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に91%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「Flavio Bolsonaro副社長候補」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Aug 4, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「Flavio Bolsonaro副社長候補」で取引するには、このページに記載されている15個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Flavio Bolsonaro副社長候補」の現在のフロントランナーは「アルフレド・ガスパール」で91%であり、市場がこの結果に91%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ダニエラ・マルケス」で35%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Flavio Bolsonaro副社長候補」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。