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icon for カリフォルニア州知事予備選から昇進するのは誰ですか?

カリフォルニア州知事予備選から昇進するのは誰ですか?

icon for カリフォルニア州知事予備選から昇進するのは誰ですか?

カリフォルニア州知事予備選から昇進するのは誰ですか?

$658,805 Vol.

2026/06/02
Polymarket

$658,805 Vol.

Polymarket

スティーブ・ヒルトン

$41,241 Vol.

74%

ザビエル・ベセラ

$14,026 Vol.

67%

トム・スタイヤー

$26,267 Vol.

52%

マット・マハン

$22,991 Vol.

6%

チャド・ビアンコ

$34,311 Vol.

3%

エリック・スウォルウェル

$73,511 Vol.

2%

イーサン・アガワル

$3,268 Vol.

2%

エレイン・クロッティ

$288 Vol.

2%

ジミー・パーカー

$1,453 Vol.

2%

ニッキー・ミナージュ

$3,958 Vol.

2%

デイビッド・セーレン

$1,220 Vol.

2%

ライアン・ティルマン

$1,950 Vol.

2%

ケイティ・ポーター

$11,317 Vol.

2%

ベティ・イー

$4,867 Vol.

2%

チェ・アン

$18,442 Vol.

2%

カイル・ラングフォード

$11,621 Vol.

2%

サンダー・パーリー

$53,760 Vol.

2%

イアン・カルデロン

$114,143 Vol.

2%

ブランドン・ジョーンズ

$42,105 Vol.

2%

ラジ・ラブ

$7,425 Vol.

1%

ゾルタン・イシュトヴァン

$12,280 Vol.

1%

レナード・ジャクソン

$3,821 Vol.

1%

ブッチ・ウェア

$8,550 Vol.

1%

キャロライナ・ビューラー

$8,811 Vol.

1%

デレク・グラスティ

$23,467 Vol.

1%

ソフィア・ブリンク

$37,863 Vol.

1%

アントニオ・ビヤライゴーサ

$12,706 Vol.

1%

ダニエル・メルクリ

$10,772 Vol.

1%

ジャヴェン・アレン

$1,161 Vol.

7%

トニー・サーマンド

$11,826 Vol.

1%

ニコラス・トンプソン

$7,072 Vol.

1%

デビッド・セルパ

$4,924 Vol.

1%

ラムジー・ロビンソン

$4,581 Vol.

1%

レオ・ザッキー

$6,433 Vol.

1%

ディラン・コルバート

$14,920 Vol.

1%

シャリファ・ハーディー

$1,506 Vol.

<1%

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.California's June 2 top-two primary features a crowded field of over 60 candidates, with polls showing Democrat Xavier Becerra, Republican Steve Hilton, and Democrat Tom Steyer clustered near the top around 17-19 percent support. Becerra has gained ground through recent polling surges, while Hilton benefits from President Trump's endorsement that helped consolidate Republican voters. The nonpartisan format means the two highest finishers advance regardless of party, creating uncertainty over whether one or two Democrats will reach the general election. Key factors include the split Democratic vote among Becerra, Steyer, Katie Porter, and others, undecided voters exceeding 25 percent, and early voting already underway ahead of the deadline.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
音量
$658,805
終了日
2026/06/02
マーケット開始日
Dec 4, 2025, 5:48 PM ET
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.California's June 2 top-two primary features a crowded field of over 60 candidates, with polls showing Democrat Xavier Becerra, Republican Steve Hilton, and Democrat Tom Steyer clustered near the top around 17-19 percent support. Becerra has gained ground through recent polling surges, while Hilton benefits from President Trump's endorsement that helped consolidate Republican voters. The nonpartisan format means the two highest finishers advance regardless of party, creating uncertainty over whether one or two Democrats will reach the general election. Key factors include the split Democratic vote among Becerra, Steyer, Katie Porter, and others, undecided voters exceeding 25 percent, and early voting already underway ahead of the deadline.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
音量
$658,805
終了日
2026/06/02
マーケット開始日
Dec 4, 2025, 5:48 PM ET
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「カリフォルニア州知事予備選から昇進するのは誰ですか?」はPolymarket上の36個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「スティーブ・ヒルトン」で74%、次いで「ザビエル・ベセラ」が67%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、74¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に74%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「カリフォルニア州知事予備選から昇進するのは誰ですか?」は$658.8Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Dec 4, 2025のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「カリフォルニア州知事予備選から昇進するのは誰ですか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている36個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「カリフォルニア州知事予備選から昇進するのは誰ですか?」の現在のフロントランナーは「スティーブ・ヒルトン」で74%であり、市場がこの結果に74%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ザビエル・ベセラ」で67%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「カリフォルニア州知事予備選から昇進するのは誰ですか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。