In Colorado's 8th Congressional District Democratic primary on June 30, trader consensus heavily favors state Rep. Manny Rutinel at 71.5% implied probability, driven by his fundraising lead and aggressive digital ad campaign attacking former Rep. Shannon Bird's legislative record on immigration and Trump-era issues. Recent polling from late April showed a tight two-way race with Bird slightly ahead at 25% to Rutinel's 24% amid 45% undecided voters, but Rutinel's TV and social media blitz—contrasting Bird's mail-focused strategy—has shifted sentiment in the final six weeks. Former incumbent Yadira Caraveo exited last year, narrowing the field, while others trail far behind; the nominee faces GOP Rep. Gabe Evans in this toss-up battleground.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日マニー・ルティネル 72%
シャノン・バード 22%
ヤディラ・カラヴェオ 1.0%
デイブ・ヤング <1%
$20,877 Vol.
$20,877 Vol.
マニー・ルティネル
72%
シャノン・バード
28%
ヤディラ・カラヴェオ
1%
デイブ・ヤング
<1%
ジョン・セムラー
<1%
アミー・バカ=オーラート
<1%
マニー・ルティネル 72%
シャノン・バード 22%
ヤディラ・カラヴェオ 1.0%
デイブ・ヤング <1%
$20,877 Vol.
$20,877 Vol.
マニー・ルティネル
72%
シャノン・バード
28%
ヤディラ・カラヴェオ
1%
デイブ・ヤング
<1%
ジョン・セムラー
<1%
アミー・バカ=オーラート
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
マーケット開始日: Nov 25, 2025, 4:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In Colorado's 8th Congressional District Democratic primary on June 30, trader consensus heavily favors state Rep. Manny Rutinel at 71.5% implied probability, driven by his fundraising lead and aggressive digital ad campaign attacking former Rep. Shannon Bird's legislative record on immigration and Trump-era issues. Recent polling from late April showed a tight two-way race with Bird slightly ahead at 25% to Rutinel's 24% amid 45% undecided voters, but Rutinel's TV and social media blitz—contrasting Bird's mail-focused strategy—has shifted sentiment in the final six weeks. Former incumbent Yadira Caraveo exited last year, narrowing the field, while others trail far behind; the nominee faces GOP Rep. Gabe Evans in this toss-up battleground.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問