Robert Luna holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Los Angeles County sheriff race, reflecting his status as incumbent and strong primary performance where he secured 44.2% to advance to the November 3 runoff against former sheriff Alex Villanueva. Traders see Luna’s broad endorsements from county supervisors, labor groups, and law enforcement associations, combined with reported declines in violent crime and homicides during his term, as key drivers of his position. The race reprises their 2022 contest, which Luna won by a wide margin. Villanueva’s campaign has focused on departmental retention and operations issues, yet remains far behind in implied probability. Late developments such as major scandals, sharp reversals in public safety metrics, or unusually high turnout among specific voting blocs could still narrow the gap before the general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日2026 Los Angeles County Sheriff Election Winner
2026 Los Angeles County Sheriff Election Winner
$18,124 Vol.
$18,124 Vol.
2026/11/03
Robert Luna
97%
Alex Villanueva
1%
$18,124 Vol.
$18,124 Vol.
2026/11/03
Robert Luna
$8,947 Vol.
97%
Alex Villanueva
$9,178 Vol.
1%
The 2026 Los Angeles County Sheriff election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the County Sheriff of Los Angeles County, CA.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Sheriff of Los Angeles County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Sheriffs appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of California and Los Angeles County.Robert Luna holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Los Angeles County sheriff race, reflecting his status as incumbent and strong primary performance where he secured 44.2% to advance to the November 3 runoff against former sheriff Alex Villanueva. Traders see Luna’s broad endorsements from county supervisors, labor groups, and law enforcement associations, combined with reported declines in violent crime and homicides during his term, as key drivers of his position. The race reprises their 2022 contest, which Luna won by a wide margin. Villanueva’s campaign has focused on departmental retention and operations issues, yet remains far behind in implied probability. Late developments such as major scandals, sharp reversals in public safety metrics, or unusually high turnout among specific voting blocs could still narrow the gap before the general election.
The 2026 Los Angeles County Sheriff election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the County Sheriff of Los Angeles County, CA.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Sheriff of Los Angeles County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Sheriffs appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of California and Los Angeles County.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Sheriff of Los Angeles County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Sheriffs appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of California and Los Angeles County.
マーケット開始日： Jun 26, 2026, 12:06 PM ET
音量
$18,124終了日
2027/05/01マーケット開始日
Jun 26, 2026, 12:06 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Los Angeles County Sheriff election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the County Sheriff of Los Angeles County, CA.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Sheriff of Los Angeles County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Sheriffs appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of California and Los Angeles County.Robert Luna holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Los Angeles County sheriff race, reflecting his status as incumbent and strong primary performance where he secured 44.2% to advance to the November 3 runoff against former sheriff Alex Villanueva. Traders see Luna’s broad endorsements from county supervisors, labor groups, and law enforcement associations, combined with reported declines in violent crime and homicides during his term, as key drivers of his position. The race reprises their 2022 contest, which Luna won by a wide margin. Villanueva’s campaign has focused on departmental retention and operations issues, yet remains far behind in implied probability. Late developments such as major scandals, sharp reversals in public safety metrics, or unusually high turnout among specific voting blocs could still narrow the gap before the general election.
The 2026 Los Angeles County Sheriff election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the County Sheriff of Los Angeles County, CA.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Sheriff of Los Angeles County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Sheriffs appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of California and Los Angeles County.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Sheriff of Los Angeles County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Sheriffs appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of California and Los Angeles County.
音量
$18,124終了日
2027/05/01マーケット開始日
Jun 26, 2026, 12:06 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Robert Luna holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Los Angeles County sheriff race, reflecting his status as incumbent and strong primary performance where he secured 44.2% to advance to the November 3 runoff against former sheriff Alex Villanueva. Traders see Luna’s broad endorsements from county supervisors, labor groups, and law enforcement associations, combined with reported declines in violent crime and homicides during his term, as key drivers of his position. The race reprises their 2022 contest, which Luna won by a wide margin. Villanueva’s campaign has focused on departmental retention and operations issues, yet remains far behind in implied probability. Late developments such as major scandals, sharp reversals in public safety metrics, or unusually high turnout among specific voting blocs could still narrow the gap before the general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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