Exit polls and partial vote counts from Russia's September 18–20, 2026, State Duma election show United Russia leading nationally while the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) holds second place ahead of LDPR and New People. In Moscow, where urban and protest-oriented voters concentrate, KPRF's established organizational base and consistent regional strength support trader consensus on its second-place finish in the party-list portion. Systemic opposition parties cleared the threshold amid wartime conditions and restricted competition, with New People gaining urban appeal but trailing KPRF in Moscow-specific positioning. Final Central Election Commission tallies, including electronic voting, will determine resolution once all protocols are processed.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ロシア連邦共産党(KPRF) 78.6%
新しい人々(NL) 10.8%
ロシア自由民主党(LDPR) <1%
統一ロシア(ER) <1%
$32,462 Vol.
$32,462 Vol.

ロシア連邦共産党(KPRF)
79%

新しい人々(NL)
11%

ロシア自由民主党(LDPR)
1%

統一ロシア(ER)
<1%

公正ロシア(SR)
<1%

ヤブロコ
<1%

ロディナ
<1%

市民プラットフォーム(GP)
<1%

ロシア年金受給者社会正義党
<1%

ロシア生態党「ザ・グリーンズ」
<1%
ロシア連邦共産党(KPRF) 78.6%
新しい人々(NL) 10.8%
ロシア自由民主党(LDPR) <1%
統一ロシア(ER) <1%
$32,462 Vol.
$32,462 Vol.

ロシア連邦共産党(KPRF)
79%

新しい人々(NL)
11%

ロシア自由民主党(LDPR)
1%

統一ロシア(ER)
<1%

公正ロシア(SR)
<1%

ヤブロコ
<1%

ロディナ
<1%

市民プラットフォーム(GP)
<1%

ロシア年金受給者社会正義党
<1%

ロシア生態党「ザ・グリーンズ」
<1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that receives the second greatest number of votes on the federal party-list ballot in the federal city of Moscow in the 2026 Russian State Duma election.
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received on the federal party-list ballot within the federal city of Moscow. If two or more parties are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If a named party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, votes officially attributed to that successor party will count.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
マーケット開始日: Sep 17, 2026, 1:36 PM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the political party that receives the second greatest number of votes on the federal party-list ballot in the federal city of Moscow in the 2026 Russian State Duma election.
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received on the federal party-list ballot within the federal city of Moscow. If two or more parties are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If a named party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, votes officially attributed to that successor party will count.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Exit polls and partial vote counts from Russia's September 18–20, 2026, State Duma election show United Russia leading nationally while the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) holds second place ahead of LDPR and New People. In Moscow, where urban and protest-oriented voters concentrate, KPRF's established organizational base and consistent regional strength support trader consensus on its second-place finish in the party-list portion. Systemic opposition parties cleared the threshold amid wartime conditions and restricted competition, with New People gaining urban appeal but trailing KPRF in Moscow-specific positioning. Final Central Election Commission tallies, including electronic voting, will determine resolution once all protocols are processed.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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