Preliminary results from Russia's September 18-20 parliamentary elections show United Russia leading with approximately 57% of the party-list vote after partial counts, consistent with Central Election Commission data and aligning closely with the dominant 55-60% market range. The tightly managed contest featured no meaningful opposition on the national ballot, high reported turnout near 57%, and Kremlin framing of the vote as a demonstration of support for national policies. Earlier state polling projected the party in the mid-to-high 40s or low 50s, but actual tallies have exceeded those figures, reinforcing trader consensus around the observed outcome while smaller probabilities remain for modest deviations pending final certification.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日55〜60％ 86%
60％以上 10.8%
50～55％ 5%
45～50％ <1%
$33,966 Vol.
$33,966 Vol.
2026/10/31
40％未満
<1%
40～45％
<1%
45～50％
1%
50～55％
5%
55〜60％
86%
60％以上
11%
55〜60％ 86%
60％以上 10.8%
50～55％ 5%
45～50％ <1%
$33,966 Vol.
$33,966 Vol.
2026/10/31
40％未満
$146 Vol.
<1%
40～45％
$578 Vol.
<1%
45～50％
$5,432 Vol.
1%
50～55％
$8,052 Vol.
5%
55〜60％
$5,426 Vol.
86%
60％以上
$14,333 Vol.
11%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the federal party-list vote won by United Russia (ER) in the 2026 Russian State Duma election.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Russia (ER) on the federal party-list ballot divided by the total number of valid votes cast on the federal party-list ballot. Votes cast in single-member district contests will not be counted.
Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Preliminary results from Russia's September 18-20 parliamentary elections show United Russia leading with approximately 57% of the party-list vote after partial counts, consistent with Central Election Commission data and aligning closely with the dominant 55-60% market range. The tightly managed contest featured no meaningful opposition on the national ballot, high reported turnout near 57%, and Kremlin framing of the vote as a demonstration of support for national policies. Earlier state polling projected the party in the mid-to-high 40s or low 50s, but actual tallies have exceeded those figures, reinforcing trader consensus around the observed outcome while smaller probabilities remain for modest deviations pending final certification.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the federal party-list vote won by United Russia (ER) in the 2026 Russian State Duma election.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Russia (ER) on the federal party-list ballot divided by the total number of valid votes cast on the federal party-list ballot. Votes cast in single-member district contests will not be counted.
Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the federal party-list vote won by United Russia (ER) in the 2026 Russian State Duma election.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Russia (ER) on the federal party-list ballot divided by the total number of valid votes cast on the federal party-list ballot. Votes cast in single-member district contests will not be counted.
Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
マーケット開始日： Sep 20, 2026, 10:14 AM ET
音量
$33,966終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Sep 20, 2026, 10:14 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the federal party-list vote won by United Russia (ER) in the 2026 Russian State Duma election.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Russia (ER) on the federal party-list ballot divided by the total number of valid votes cast on the federal party-list ballot. Votes cast in single-member district contests will not be counted.
Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Preliminary results from Russia's September 18-20 parliamentary elections show United Russia leading with approximately 57% of the party-list vote after partial counts, consistent with Central Election Commission data and aligning closely with the dominant 55-60% market range. The tightly managed contest featured no meaningful opposition on the national ballot, high reported turnout near 57%, and Kremlin framing of the vote as a demonstration of support for national policies. Earlier state polling projected the party in the mid-to-high 40s or low 50s, but actual tallies have exceeded those figures, reinforcing trader consensus around the observed outcome while smaller probabilities remain for modest deviations pending final certification.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the federal party-list vote won by United Russia (ER) in the 2026 Russian State Duma election.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Russia (ER) on the federal party-list ballot divided by the total number of valid votes cast on the federal party-list ballot. Votes cast in single-member district contests will not be counted.
Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the federal party-list vote won by United Russia (ER) in the 2026 Russian State Duma election.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Russia (ER) on the federal party-list ballot divided by the total number of valid votes cast on the federal party-list ballot. Votes cast in single-member district contests will not be counted.
Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
音量
$33,966終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Sep 20, 2026, 10:14 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Preliminary results from Russia's September 18-20 parliamentary elections show United Russia leading with approximately 57% of the party-list vote after partial counts, consistent with Central Election Commission data and aligning closely with the dominant 55-60% market range. The tightly managed contest featured no meaningful opposition on the national ballot, high reported turnout near 57%, and Kremlin framing of the vote as a demonstration of support for national policies. Earlier state polling projected the party in the mid-to-high 40s or low 50s, but actual tallies have exceeded those figures, reinforcing trader consensus around the observed outcome while smaller probabilities remain for modest deviations pending final certification.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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