Recent polling averages place Renan Santos of the Mission Party in the low single digits for Brazil’s October 4 first-round presidential vote, reflecting his position as a first-time candidate from a newly registered party with minimal free broadcast time and a small electoral fund. His digital-focused campaign targets younger voters and emphasizes security, fiscal pragmatism, and anti-establishment messaging, yet it competes against better-known right-wing figures including Flávio Bolsonaro. A late-August electoral court decision suspending aspects of his online advertising has further constrained visibility. These dynamics align trader consensus with the 2-4% range as the most probable outcome, while modest upside remains possible if debate performances or youth turnout exceed current trends.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日2〜4％ 41%
4〜6％ 23%
6～8％ 14.3%
8％以上 14%
新規
新規
2026/10/04
2％未満
11%
2〜4％
41%
4〜6％
23%
6～8％
14%
8％以上
14%
2〜4％ 41%
4〜6％ 23%
6～8％ 14.3%
8％以上 14%
新規
新規
2026/10/04
2％未満
$511 Vol.
11%
2〜4％
$1,326 Vol.
41%
4〜6％
$1,433 Vol.
23%
6～8％
$401 Vol.
14%
8％以上
$1,993 Vol.
14%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Renan Santos in the first round of this election.
The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, including the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polling averages place Renan Santos of the Mission Party in the low single digits for Brazil’s October 4 first-round presidential vote, reflecting his position as a first-time candidate from a newly registered party with minimal free broadcast time and a small electoral fund. His digital-focused campaign targets younger voters and emphasizes security, fiscal pragmatism, and anti-establishment messaging, yet it competes against better-known right-wing figures including Flávio Bolsonaro. A late-August electoral court decision suspending aspects of his online advertising has further constrained visibility. These dynamics align trader consensus with the 2-4% range as the most probable outcome, while modest upside remains possible if debate performances or youth turnout exceed current trends.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Renan Santos in the first round of this election.
The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, including the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Renan Santos in the first round of this election.
The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, including the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
マーケット開始日： Sep 15, 2026, 10:26 PM ET
音量
$5,665終了日
2026/10/05マーケット開始日
Sep 15, 2026, 10:26 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Renan Santos in the first round of this election.
The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, including the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polling averages place Renan Santos of the Mission Party in the low single digits for Brazil’s October 4 first-round presidential vote, reflecting his position as a first-time candidate from a newly registered party with minimal free broadcast time and a small electoral fund. His digital-focused campaign targets younger voters and emphasizes security, fiscal pragmatism, and anti-establishment messaging, yet it competes against better-known right-wing figures including Flávio Bolsonaro. A late-August electoral court decision suspending aspects of his online advertising has further constrained visibility. These dynamics align trader consensus with the 2-4% range as the most probable outcome, while modest upside remains possible if debate performances or youth turnout exceed current trends.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Renan Santos in the first round of this election.
The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, including the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Renan Santos in the first round of this election.
The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, including the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
音量
$5,665終了日
2026/10/05マーケット開始日
Sep 15, 2026, 10:26 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place Renan Santos of the Mission Party in the low single digits for Brazil’s October 4 first-round presidential vote, reflecting his position as a first-time candidate from a newly registered party with minimal free broadcast time and a small electoral fund. His digital-focused campaign targets younger voters and emphasizes security, fiscal pragmatism, and anti-establishment messaging, yet it competes against better-known right-wing figures including Flávio Bolsonaro. A late-August electoral court decision suspending aspects of his online advertising has further constrained visibility. These dynamics align trader consensus with the 2-4% range as the most probable outcome, while modest upside remains possible if debate performances or youth turnout exceed current trends.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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