Institutional safeguards and Senate procedural requirements continue to shield Alexandre de Moraes from removal as an STF justice despite recent allegations of improper ties to a banker in the Banco Master fraud case. Chief Justice Edson Fachin has reassigned Moraes from the fake news inquiry and the full court postponed any decision on opening an internal probe until at least December after a contentious September 15 session. Dozens of impeachment petitions remain stalled before Senate President Davi Alcolumbre, with no floor action scheduled, while the approaching October presidential election and potential shifts in Senate composition add further uncertainty. These structural barriers and the absence of decisive institutional moves underpin trader expectations that Moraes will retain his position.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
17% 確率
$87,593 Vol.
$87,593 Vol.
2026/12/30
はい
17% 確率
$87,593 Vol.
$87,593 Vol.
2026/12/30
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Institutional safeguards and Senate procedural requirements continue to shield Alexandre de Moraes from removal as an STF justice despite recent allegations of improper ties to a banker in the Banco Master fraud case. Chief Justice Edson Fachin has reassigned Moraes from the fake news inquiry and the full court postponed any decision on opening an internal probe until at least December after a contentious September 15 session. Dozens of impeachment petitions remain stalled before Senate President Davi Alcolumbre, with no floor action scheduled, while the approaching October presidential election and potential shifts in Senate composition add further uncertainty. These structural barriers and the absence of decisive institutional moves underpin trader expectations that Moraes will retain his position.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Mar 9, 2026, 6:21 PM ET
音量
$87,593終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Mar 9, 2026, 6:21 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Institutional safeguards and Senate procedural requirements continue to shield Alexandre de Moraes from removal as an STF justice despite recent allegations of improper ties to a banker in the Banco Master fraud case. Chief Justice Edson Fachin has reassigned Moraes from the fake news inquiry and the full court postponed any decision on opening an internal probe until at least December after a contentious September 15 session. Dozens of impeachment petitions remain stalled before Senate President Davi Alcolumbre, with no floor action scheduled, while the approaching October presidential election and potential shifts in Senate composition add further uncertainty. These structural barriers and the absence of decisive institutional moves underpin trader expectations that Moraes will retain his position.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$87,593終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Mar 9, 2026, 6:21 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Institutional safeguards and Senate procedural requirements continue to shield Alexandre de Moraes from removal as an STF justice despite recent allegations of improper ties to a banker in the Banco Master fraud case. Chief Justice Edson Fachin has reassigned Moraes from the fake news inquiry and the full court postponed any decision on opening an internal probe until at least December after a contentious September 15 session. Dozens of impeachment petitions remain stalled before Senate President Davi Alcolumbre, with no floor action scheduled, while the approaching October presidential election and potential shifts in Senate composition add further uncertainty. These structural barriers and the absence of decisive institutional moves underpin trader expectations that Moraes will retain his position.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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