Elon Musk's X activity in early July typically clusters in the low-to-mid 200s per week amid routine engagement, with the tight spread across 180-259 ranges reflecting trader consensus on his baseline volume of roughly 25-35 posts daily. Variability stems from unpredictable catalysts like Tesla earnings updates, SpaceX launches, or political commentary, which can spike replies and threads, while the July 4 holiday weekend may dampen momentum. Historical patterns show his output fluctuating with news intensity rather than fixed schedules, keeping higher bands like 300+ at lower implied probabilities due to the absence of confirmed major events. Traders weigh these dynamics against recent weekly totals near 200-220, noting that breaking news or sustained viral moments could shift resolution toward the upper end of the frontrunning clusters.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日380-399 47%
200-219 27%
220-239 25%
240-259 24%
$17,797 Vol.
$17,797 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
3%
80-99
6%
100-119
7%
120-139
23%
140-159
14%
160-179
16%
180-199
22%
200-219
27%
220-239
25%
240-259
24%
260-279
23%
280-299
23%
300-319
23%
320-339
22%
340-359
1%
360-379
23%
380-399
47%
400-419
4%
420-439
7%
440-459
7%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
380-399 47%
200-219 27%
220-239 25%
240-259 24%
$17,797 Vol.
$17,797 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
3%
80-99
6%
100-119
7%
120-139
23%
140-159
14%
160-179
16%
180-199
22%
200-219
27%
220-239
25%
240-259
24%
260-279
23%
280-299
23%
300-319
23%
320-339
22%
340-359
1%
360-379
23%
380-399
47%
400-419
4%
420-439
7%
440-459
7%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
マーケット開始日： Jun 30, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk's X activity in early July typically clusters in the low-to-mid 200s per week amid routine engagement, with the tight spread across 180-259 ranges reflecting trader consensus on his baseline volume of roughly 25-35 posts daily. Variability stems from unpredictable catalysts like Tesla earnings updates, SpaceX launches, or political commentary, which can spike replies and threads, while the July 4 holiday weekend may dampen momentum. Historical patterns show his output fluctuating with news intensity rather than fixed schedules, keeping higher bands like 300+ at lower implied probabilities due to the absence of confirmed major events. Traders weigh these dynamics against recent weekly totals near 200-220, noting that breaking news or sustained viral moments could shift resolution toward the upper end of the frontrunning clusters.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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