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icon for イーロン・マスクが2026年6月にツイートしましたか?

イーロン・マスクが2026年6月にツイートしましたか?

icon for イーロン・マスクが2026年6月にツイートしましたか?

イーロン・マスクが2026年6月にツイートしましたか?

840~879 14%

880〜919 13%

960〜999 12.3%

920~959 11%

Polymarket

$21,066 Vol.

840~879 14%

880〜919 13%

960〜999 12.3%

920~959 11%

Polymarket

$21,066 Vol.

400未満

$3,309 Vol.

<1%

400〜419

$2,131 Vol.

<1%

420〜439

$1,797 Vol.

<1%

440~459

$1,655 Vol.

<1%

460〜479

$1,302 Vol.

<1%

480〜499

$315 Vol.

<1%

500〜519

$213 Vol.

<1%

520〜539

$114 Vol.

<1%

540~559

$176 Vol.

<1%

560〜579

$110 Vol.

<1%

580〜599

$418 Vol.

<1%

600~639

$100 Vol.

<1%

640~679

$115 Vol.

<1%

680~719

$168 Vol.

2%

720〜759

$117 Vol.

2%

760~799

$173 Vol.

5%

800~839

$264 Vol.

9%

840~879

$937 Vol.

14%

880〜919

$890 Vol.

13%

920~959

$3,127 Vol.

11%

960〜999

$784 Vol.

12%

1000〜1039

$534 Vol.

8%

1040〜1079

$168 Vol.

6%

1080~1119

$153 Vol.

4%

1120〜1159

$144 Vol.

3%

1160~1199

$190 Vol.

3%

1200〜1239

$129 Vol.

3%

1240〜1279

$119 Vol.

2%

1280~1319

$126 Vol.

1%

1320〜1359

$175 Vol.

1%

1360~1399

$140 Vol.

1%

1400以上

$972 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of June 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's posting volume on X remains highly variable, shaped by business developments at Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI alongside real-time news cycles and platform engagement. Daily counts in early June 2026 have ranged from the low teens to peaks above 80-100, consistent with patterns observed in prior short-term Polymarket windows where activity often settles near 20-30 posts per day absent major catalysts. With the month roughly halfway complete, traders are extrapolating from this pace while weighing potential spikes from upcoming product milestones, regulatory updates, or geopolitical commentary that could push totals higher or trigger quieter stretches. The broad spread across 800-1000+ bins reflects this inherent unpredictability rather than any single dominant driver.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of June 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$21,066
終了日
2026/07/01
マーケット開始日
Jun 9, 2026, 5:57 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of June 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of June 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's posting volume on X remains highly variable, shaped by business developments at Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI alongside real-time news cycles and platform engagement. Daily counts in early June 2026 have ranged from the low teens to peaks above 80-100, consistent with patterns observed in prior short-term Polymarket windows where activity often settles near 20-30 posts per day absent major catalysts. With the month roughly halfway complete, traders are extrapolating from this pace while weighing potential spikes from upcoming product milestones, regulatory updates, or geopolitical commentary that could push totals higher or trigger quieter stretches. The broad spread across 800-1000+ bins reflects this inherent unpredictability rather than any single dominant driver.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of June 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$21,066
終了日
2026/07/01
マーケット開始日
Jun 9, 2026, 5:57 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of June 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「イーロン・マスクが2026年6月にツイートしましたか?」はPolymarket上の32個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「840~879」で14%、次いで「880〜919」が13%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、14¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に14%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「イーロン・マスクが2026年6月にツイートしましたか?」は$21.1Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Jun 9, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「イーロン・マスクが2026年6月にツイートしましたか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている32個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「イーロン・マスクが2026年6月にツイートしましたか?」の現在のフロントランナーは「840~879」で14%であり、市場がこの結果に14%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「880〜919」で13%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「イーロン・マスクが2026年6月にツイートしましたか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。