Persistent disagreements over Iran's uranium enrichment limits and verification requirements continue to stall US-Iran nuclear talks, supporting traders' 76.5% probability that no deal will be reached by June 30. Recent rounds mediated by Oman and Pakistan produced proposals on sanctions relief and Strait of Hormuz access, yet Iran has rejected curbs on its nuclear program while the United States insists on stricter limits than those in prior frameworks. US and Israeli strikes on Iranian sites earlier this year further complicated diplomacy, with talks now focused on de-escalation steps separate from a full nuclear accord. Scheduled follow-up discussions remain tentative amid these core disputes, leaving little room for resolution within the tight timeline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$1,858,605 Vol.
$1,858,605 Vol.
2026/06/30
はい
$1,858,605 Vol.
$1,858,605 Vol.
2026/06/30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Persistent disagreements over Iran's uranium enrichment limits and verification requirements continue to stall US-Iran nuclear talks, supporting traders' 76.5% probability that no deal will be reached by June 30. Recent rounds mediated by Oman and Pakistan produced proposals on sanctions relief and Strait of Hormuz access, yet Iran has rejected curbs on its nuclear program while the United States insists on stricter limits than those in prior frameworks. US and Israeli strikes on Iranian sites earlier this year further complicated diplomacy, with talks now focused on de-escalation steps separate from a full nuclear accord. Scheduled follow-up discussions remain tentative amid these core disputes, leaving little room for resolution within the tight timeline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
マーケット開始日： Dec 17, 2025, 5:47 PM ET
音量
$1,858,605終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Dec 17, 2025, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Persistent disagreements over Iran's uranium enrichment limits and verification requirements continue to stall US-Iran nuclear talks, supporting traders' 76.5% probability that no deal will be reached by June 30. Recent rounds mediated by Oman and Pakistan produced proposals on sanctions relief and Strait of Hormuz access, yet Iran has rejected curbs on its nuclear program while the United States insists on stricter limits than those in prior frameworks. US and Israeli strikes on Iranian sites earlier this year further complicated diplomacy, with talks now focused on de-escalation steps separate from a full nuclear accord. Scheduled follow-up discussions remain tentative amid these core disputes, leaving little room for resolution within the tight timeline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
音量
$1,858,605終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Dec 17, 2025, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Persistent disagreements over Iran's uranium enrichment limits and verification requirements continue to stall US-Iran nuclear talks, supporting traders' 76.5% probability that no deal will be reached by June 30. Recent rounds mediated by Oman and Pakistan produced proposals on sanctions relief and Strait of Hormuz access, yet Iran has rejected curbs on its nuclear program while the United States insists on stricter limits than those in prior frameworks. US and Israeli strikes on Iranian sites earlier this year further complicated diplomacy, with talks now focused on de-escalation steps separate from a full nuclear accord. Scheduled follow-up discussions remain tentative amid these core disputes, leaving little room for resolution within the tight timeline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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