US sanctions targeting Iran's oil shipments to China, combined with the ongoing naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, continue to restrict Tehran's foreign currency inflows and sustain pressure on the rial. New designations announced May 11 by the Treasury's Office of Foreign Assets Control hit entities in Hong Kong, the UAE, and Oman facilitating exports, building on earlier measures that have already curtailed most oil sales. Iran's economy faces projected 6.1% contraction and 68.9% inflation for 2026 per IMF estimates, with open-market USD/IRR rates fluctuating near 1.31–1.85 million amid storage constraints at Kharg Island and stalled nuclear talks. Any short-term diplomatic breakthrough reopening trade channels before the May 31 resolution window could moderate further depreciation, while sustained enforcement would reinforce the rial's weakness.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$78,232 Vol.
↑ 2.0M
32%
↑ 1.9M
60%
↓ 1.7M
17%
↓ 1.6M
10%
↓ 1.5M
3%
$78,232 Vol.
↑ 2.0M
32%
↑ 1.9M
60%
↓ 1.7M
17%
↓ 1.6M
10%
↓ 1.5M
3%
This market will resolve according to the daily finalized free-market USD exchange rate as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Revisions or corrections to daily figures indicating a qualifying exchange rate will be considered only if they occur before all relevant figures for this market have been finalized.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). Resolution will occur once the final exchange rate data point of the specified timeframe is finalized. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
マーケット開始日: Apr 30, 2026, 3:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve according to the daily finalized free-market USD exchange rate as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Revisions or corrections to daily figures indicating a qualifying exchange rate will be considered only if they occur before all relevant figures for this market have been finalized.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). Resolution will occur once the final exchange rate data point of the specified timeframe is finalized. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...US sanctions targeting Iran's oil shipments to China, combined with the ongoing naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, continue to restrict Tehran's foreign currency inflows and sustain pressure on the rial. New designations announced May 11 by the Treasury's Office of Foreign Assets Control hit entities in Hong Kong, the UAE, and Oman facilitating exports, building on earlier measures that have already curtailed most oil sales. Iran's economy faces projected 6.1% contraction and 68.9% inflation for 2026 per IMF estimates, with open-market USD/IRR rates fluctuating near 1.31–1.85 million amid storage constraints at Kharg Island and stalled nuclear talks. Any short-term diplomatic breakthrough reopening trade channels before the May 31 resolution window could moderate further depreciation, while sustained enforcement would reinforce the rial's weakness.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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