**The official Argentine peso exchange rate trades near ARS 1,530–1,535 per USD in mid-September 2026 under the BCRA’s inflation-indexed crawling band regime, with the ceiling recently near ARS 1,900.** Persistent monthly inflation around 1.6–2.6% continues to widen the band and lift the spot rate, while the government’s 2027 budget projects an end-2026 level near ARS 1,600 and the REM consensus sits around ARS 1,630. Reserve accumulation, US swap-line support, and high commodity prices have stabilized sentiment and limited volatility, yet the policy framework and inflation trajectory imply further gradual depreciation through year-end. Market-implied odds heavily favor the 1,600+ bucket because forecasts cluster in that zone and the crawl mechanism mechanically transmits ongoing price pressures into the official rate. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming CPI prints and BCRA reserve data that could shift the crawl pace or band parameters.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日1600.00以上 60%
1,500.00–1,549.99 16.6%
1550.00–1599.99 16.5%
1350.00〜1399.99 5.5%
$10,200 Vol.
$10,200 Vol.
2026/12/30
1250.00未満
3%
1250.00～1299.99
5%
1300.00〜1349.99
5%
1350.00〜1399.99
6%
1400.00〜1449.99
4%
1450.00～1499.99
5%
1,500.00–1,549.99
12%
1550.00–1599.99
23%
1600.00以上
60%
1600.00以上 60%
1,500.00–1,549.99 16.6%
1550.00–1599.99 16.5%
1350.00〜1399.99 5.5%
$10,200 Vol.
$10,200 Vol.
2026/12/30
1250.00未満
$544 Vol.
3%
1250.00～1299.99
$972 Vol.
5%
1300.00〜1349.99
$841 Vol.
5%
1350.00〜1399.99
$916 Vol.
6%
1400.00〜1449.99
$1,252 Vol.
4%
1450.00～1499.99
$1,482 Vol.
5%
1,500.00–1,549.99
$1,365 Vol.
12%
1550.00–1599.99
$785 Vol.
23%
1600.00以上
$2,043 Vol.
60%
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.**The official Argentine peso exchange rate trades near ARS 1,530–1,535 per USD in mid-September 2026 under the BCRA’s inflation-indexed crawling band regime, with the ceiling recently near ARS 1,900.** Persistent monthly inflation around 1.6–2.6% continues to widen the band and lift the spot rate, while the government’s 2027 budget projects an end-2026 level near ARS 1,600 and the REM consensus sits around ARS 1,630. Reserve accumulation, US swap-line support, and high commodity prices have stabilized sentiment and limited volatility, yet the policy framework and inflation trajectory imply further gradual depreciation through year-end. Market-implied odds heavily favor the 1,600+ bucket because forecasts cluster in that zone and the crawl mechanism mechanically transmits ongoing price pressures into the official rate. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming CPI prints and BCRA reserve data that could shift the crawl pace or band parameters.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
マーケット開始日： Jan 21, 2026, 10:25 AM ET
音量
$10,200終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 21, 2026, 10:25 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.**The official Argentine peso exchange rate trades near ARS 1,530–1,535 per USD in mid-September 2026 under the BCRA’s inflation-indexed crawling band regime, with the ceiling recently near ARS 1,900.** Persistent monthly inflation around 1.6–2.6% continues to widen the band and lift the spot rate, while the government’s 2027 budget projects an end-2026 level near ARS 1,600 and the REM consensus sits around ARS 1,630. Reserve accumulation, US swap-line support, and high commodity prices have stabilized sentiment and limited volatility, yet the policy framework and inflation trajectory imply further gradual depreciation through year-end. Market-implied odds heavily favor the 1,600+ bucket because forecasts cluster in that zone and the crawl mechanism mechanically transmits ongoing price pressures into the official rate. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming CPI prints and BCRA reserve data that could shift the crawl pace or band parameters.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
音量
$10,200終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 21, 2026, 10:25 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...**The official Argentine peso exchange rate trades near ARS 1,530–1,535 per USD in mid-September 2026 under the BCRA’s inflation-indexed crawling band regime, with the ceiling recently near ARS 1,900.** Persistent monthly inflation around 1.6–2.6% continues to widen the band and lift the spot rate, while the government’s 2027 budget projects an end-2026 level near ARS 1,600 and the REM consensus sits around ARS 1,630. Reserve accumulation, US swap-line support, and high commodity prices have stabilized sentiment and limited volatility, yet the policy framework and inflation trajectory imply further gradual depreciation through year-end. Market-implied odds heavily favor the 1,600+ bucket because forecasts cluster in that zone and the crawl mechanism mechanically transmits ongoing price pressures into the official rate. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming CPI prints and BCRA reserve data that could shift the crawl pace or band parameters.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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