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icon for Trump on $250 bill this year?

Trump on $250 bill this year?

icon for Trump on $250 bill this year?

Trump on $250 bill this year?

9% 確率
Polymarket

$13,597 Vol.

9% 確率
Polymarket

$13,597 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a $250 bill featuring an image or portrait of Donald Trump is officially issued by the U.S. federal government by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count. A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count. A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Trump administration officials have advanced mockups for a commemorative $250 note tied to the July 4, 2026, semiquincentennial, yet federal law since 1866 bars living portraits on currency. The Donald J. Trump $250 Bill Act (H.R. 1761), introduced in February 2025 to create a narrow presidential exception, remains stalled in the House Financial Services Committee with no floor vote scheduled. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent confirmed in late May that any printing requires congressional passage first, while prototypes and internal preparations continue only on a contingency basis. With roughly three weeks until the anniversary and broader legislative priorities dominating the calendar, traders assign low odds to enactment and production this year.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a $250 bill featuring an image or portrait of Donald Trump is officially issued by the U.S. federal government by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count.

A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count.

A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$13,597
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
May 28, 2026, 3:38 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a $250 bill featuring an image or portrait of Donald Trump is officially issued by the U.S. federal government by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count. A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count. A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a $250 bill featuring an image or portrait of Donald Trump is officially issued by the U.S. federal government by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count. A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count. A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Trump administration officials have advanced mockups for a commemorative $250 note tied to the July 4, 2026, semiquincentennial, yet federal law since 1866 bars living portraits on currency. The Donald J. Trump $250 Bill Act (H.R. 1761), introduced in February 2025 to create a narrow presidential exception, remains stalled in the House Financial Services Committee with no floor vote scheduled. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent confirmed in late May that any printing requires congressional passage first, while prototypes and internal preparations continue only on a contingency basis. With roughly three weeks until the anniversary and broader legislative priorities dominating the calendar, traders assign low odds to enactment and production this year.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a $250 bill featuring an image or portrait of Donald Trump is officially issued by the U.S. federal government by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count.

A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count.

A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$13,597
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
May 28, 2026, 3:38 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a $250 bill featuring an image or portrait of Donald Trump is officially issued by the U.S. federal government by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count. A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count. A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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よくある質問

「Trump on $250 bill this year?」はPolymarket上の予測市場で、トレーダーがこのイベントが起こるかどうかに基づいて「はい」または「いいえ」のシェアを売買します。コミュニティによる現在の確率は「Yes」に対して9%です。例えば、「はい」が9¢で取引されている場合、市場はこのイベントが発生する確率を9%と集合的に評価しています。これらのオッズはトレーダーが新しい展開や情報に反応するにつれて継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Trump on $250 bill this year?」は$13.6Kの総取引量を生み出しています(May 28, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Trump on $250 bill this year?」で取引するには、答えが「はい」か「いいえ」かを選ぶだけです。各側には市場の暗示確率を反映する現在の価格があります。金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。「はい」のシェアを購入し、結果が「はい」と決まった場合、各シェアは$1を支払います。「いいえ」と決まった場合、「はい」のシェアは$0を支払います。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却して利益を確定したり、損失を抑えたりすることもできます。

「Trump on $250 bill this year?」の現在の確率は「Yes」に対して9%です。これはPolymarketコミュニティがこのイベントの発生確率を9%と現在評価していることを意味します。これらのオッズは実際の取引に基づいてリアルタイムで更新され、市場の期待を継続的に反映するシグナルを提供します。

「Trump on $250 bill this year?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。