**Trader consensus that Donald Trump will not appear on a $250 bill this year reflects the absence of enacted legislation authorizing a new denomination or an exception to the long-standing prohibition on living persons on U.S. currency.** The relevant bill introduced by Rep. Joe Wilson has remained stalled in committee since early 2025, with no floor votes or advancement reported through mid-September 2026. Treasury officials conducted limited design planning earlier in the year in anticipation of possible congressional action, yet repeatedly stated that production requires statutory changes. With the calendar year nearing its end and attention shifting to commemorative coins already released, the procedural and timing barriers have kept implied probabilities for issuance extremely low. Late-session passage or an unexpected executive maneuver could theoretically reopen the possibility, though both face significant institutional hurdles.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日3% 確率
$30,531 Vol.
$30,531 Vol.
2026/12/30
3% 確率
$30,531 Vol.
$30,531 Vol.
2026/12/30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a $250 bill featuring an image or portrait of Donald Trump is officially issued by the U.S. federal government by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count.
A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count.
A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
**Trader consensus that Donald Trump will not appear on a $250 bill this year reflects the absence of enacted legislation authorizing a new denomination or an exception to the long-standing prohibition on living persons on U.S. currency.** The relevant bill introduced by Rep. Joe Wilson has remained stalled in committee since early 2025, with no floor votes or advancement reported through mid-September 2026. Treasury officials conducted limited design planning earlier in the year in anticipation of possible congressional action, yet repeatedly stated that production requires statutory changes. With the calendar year nearing its end and attention shifting to commemorative coins already released, the procedural and timing barriers have kept implied probabilities for issuance extremely low. Late-session passage or an unexpected executive maneuver could theoretically reopen the possibility, though both face significant institutional hurdles.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a $250 bill featuring an image or portrait of Donald Trump is officially issued by the U.S. federal government by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count.
A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count.
A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count.
A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count.
A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： May 28, 2026, 3:38 PM ET
音量
$30,531終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
May 28, 2026, 3:38 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a $250 bill featuring an image or portrait of Donald Trump is officially issued by the U.S. federal government by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count.
A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count.
A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
**Trader consensus that Donald Trump will not appear on a $250 bill this year reflects the absence of enacted legislation authorizing a new denomination or an exception to the long-standing prohibition on living persons on U.S. currency.** The relevant bill introduced by Rep. Joe Wilson has remained stalled in committee since early 2025, with no floor votes or advancement reported through mid-September 2026. Treasury officials conducted limited design planning earlier in the year in anticipation of possible congressional action, yet repeatedly stated that production requires statutory changes. With the calendar year nearing its end and attention shifting to commemorative coins already released, the procedural and timing barriers have kept implied probabilities for issuance extremely low. Late-session passage or an unexpected executive maneuver could theoretically reopen the possibility, though both face significant institutional hurdles.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a $250 bill featuring an image or portrait of Donald Trump is officially issued by the U.S. federal government by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count.
A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count.
A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count.
A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count.
A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$30,531終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
May 28, 2026, 3:38 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...**Trader consensus that Donald Trump will not appear on a $250 bill this year reflects the absence of enacted legislation authorizing a new denomination or an exception to the long-standing prohibition on living persons on U.S. currency.** The relevant bill introduced by Rep. Joe Wilson has remained stalled in committee since early 2025, with no floor votes or advancement reported through mid-September 2026. Treasury officials conducted limited design planning earlier in the year in anticipation of possible congressional action, yet repeatedly stated that production requires statutory changes. With the calendar year nearing its end and attention shifting to commemorative coins already released, the procedural and timing barriers have kept implied probabilities for issuance extremely low. Late-session passage or an unexpected executive maneuver could theoretically reopen the possibility, though both face significant institutional hurdles.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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