**Analyst consensus and market-implied odds cluster around 1,600–1,700 ARS per USD by December 2026, reflecting the Central Bank’s inflation-linked crawling band regime implemented in January 2026.** Current spot rates near 1,488 have advanced modestly under the policy, which widens the band monthly in line with prior inflation prints while supporting reserve accumulation ahead of sizable external debt payments due through year-end. Recent BCRA survey medians project 1,652, with top forecasters at 1,605 and some banks seeing 1,760, underscoring the tight contest between contained depreciation and any acceleration tied to residual inflation or external financing needs. Trader positioning in the two leading brackets captures this uncertainty around the pace of peso adjustment versus fiscal and monetary stabilization.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$21,579 Vol.
$21,579 Vol.
2026/12/31
<1600.00
44%
1600.00〜1699.99
40%
1700.00～1799.99
9%
1800.00〜1899.99
6%
1900.00–1999.99
1%
2000.00以上
3%
$21,579 Vol.
$21,579 Vol.
2026/12/31
<1600.00
$2,450 Vol.
44%
1600.00〜1699.99
$2,000 Vol.
40%
1700.00～1799.99
$2,198 Vol.
9%
1800.00〜1899.99
$1,626 Vol.
6%
1900.00–1999.99
$11,566 Vol.
1%
2000.00以上
$1,740 Vol.
3%
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.**Analyst consensus and market-implied odds cluster around 1,600–1,700 ARS per USD by December 2026, reflecting the Central Bank’s inflation-linked crawling band regime implemented in January 2026.** Current spot rates near 1,488 have advanced modestly under the policy, which widens the band monthly in line with prior inflation prints while supporting reserve accumulation ahead of sizable external debt payments due through year-end. Recent BCRA survey medians project 1,652, with top forecasters at 1,605 and some banks seeing 1,760, underscoring the tight contest between contained depreciation and any acceleration tied to residual inflation or external financing needs. Trader positioning in the two leading brackets captures this uncertainty around the pace of peso adjustment versus fiscal and monetary stabilization.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
マーケット開始日： Jan 26, 2026, 4:48 PM ET
音量
$21,579終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 26, 2026, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.**Analyst consensus and market-implied odds cluster around 1,600–1,700 ARS per USD by December 2026, reflecting the Central Bank’s inflation-linked crawling band regime implemented in January 2026.** Current spot rates near 1,488 have advanced modestly under the policy, which widens the band monthly in line with prior inflation prints while supporting reserve accumulation ahead of sizable external debt payments due through year-end. Recent BCRA survey medians project 1,652, with top forecasters at 1,605 and some banks seeing 1,760, underscoring the tight contest between contained depreciation and any acceleration tied to residual inflation or external financing needs. Trader positioning in the two leading brackets captures this uncertainty around the pace of peso adjustment versus fiscal and monetary stabilization.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
音量
$21,579終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 26, 2026, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Analyst consensus and market-implied odds cluster around 1,600–1,700 ARS per USD by December 2026, reflecting the Central Bank’s inflation-linked crawling band regime implemented in January 2026.** Current spot rates near 1,488 have advanced modestly under the policy, which widens the band monthly in line with prior inflation prints while supporting reserve accumulation ahead of sizable external debt payments due through year-end. Recent BCRA survey medians project 1,652, with top forecasters at 1,605 and some banks seeing 1,760, underscoring the tight contest between contained depreciation and any acceleration tied to residual inflation or external financing needs. Trader positioning in the two leading brackets captures this uncertainty around the pace of peso adjustment versus fiscal and monetary stabilization.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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