Trader sentiment for Argentina’s official USD exchange rate at year-end 2026 centers on the Central Bank’s managed crawling band, which has held the peso near 1,395 ARS per USD in mid-May amid monthly inflation readings around 2.9 percent. This framework, expanded in January 2026 to track prior inflation, supports reserve accumulation ahead of nearly $20 billion in debt maturities while inflation forecasts have risen to 30–33 percent for the full year. Recent Fitch upgrade to B- and fiscal surplus gains have anchored expectations for measured depreciation rather than sharp adjustment, positioning sub-1,600 ARS as the consensus outcome with 38.5 percent implied probability. Key near-term catalysts include BCRA dollar purchases and any further band recalibration to balance external obligations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$18,372 Vol.
$18,372 Vol.
2026/12/31
<1600.00
45%
1600.00〜1699.99
22%
1700.00～1799.99
11%
1800.00〜1899.99
4%
1900.00–1999.99
2%
2000.00以上
7%
$18,372 Vol.
$18,372 Vol.
2026/12/31
<1600.00
$1,911 Vol.
45%
1600.00〜1699.99
$1,465 Vol.
22%
1700.00～1799.99
$1,192 Vol.
11%
1800.00〜1899.99
$1,114 Vol.
4%
1900.00–1999.99
$11,260 Vol.
2%
2000.00以上
$1,430 Vol.
7%
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader sentiment for Argentina’s official USD exchange rate at year-end 2026 centers on the Central Bank’s managed crawling band, which has held the peso near 1,395 ARS per USD in mid-May amid monthly inflation readings around 2.9 percent. This framework, expanded in January 2026 to track prior inflation, supports reserve accumulation ahead of nearly $20 billion in debt maturities while inflation forecasts have risen to 30–33 percent for the full year. Recent Fitch upgrade to B- and fiscal surplus gains have anchored expectations for measured depreciation rather than sharp adjustment, positioning sub-1,600 ARS as the consensus outcome with 38.5 percent implied probability. Key near-term catalysts include BCRA dollar purchases and any further band recalibration to balance external obligations.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
マーケット開始日： Jan 26, 2026, 4:48 PM ET
音量
$18,372終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 26, 2026, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader sentiment for Argentina’s official USD exchange rate at year-end 2026 centers on the Central Bank’s managed crawling band, which has held the peso near 1,395 ARS per USD in mid-May amid monthly inflation readings around 2.9 percent. This framework, expanded in January 2026 to track prior inflation, supports reserve accumulation ahead of nearly $20 billion in debt maturities while inflation forecasts have risen to 30–33 percent for the full year. Recent Fitch upgrade to B- and fiscal surplus gains have anchored expectations for measured depreciation rather than sharp adjustment, positioning sub-1,600 ARS as the consensus outcome with 38.5 percent implied probability. Key near-term catalysts include BCRA dollar purchases and any further band recalibration to balance external obligations.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
音量
$18,372終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 26, 2026, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader sentiment for Argentina’s official USD exchange rate at year-end 2026 centers on the Central Bank’s managed crawling band, which has held the peso near 1,395 ARS per USD in mid-May amid monthly inflation readings around 2.9 percent. This framework, expanded in January 2026 to track prior inflation, supports reserve accumulation ahead of nearly $20 billion in debt maturities while inflation forecasts have risen to 30–33 percent for the full year. Recent Fitch upgrade to B- and fiscal surplus gains have anchored expectations for measured depreciation rather than sharp adjustment, positioning sub-1,600 ARS as the consensus outcome with 38.5 percent implied probability. Key near-term catalysts include BCRA dollar purchases and any further band recalibration to balance external obligations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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