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icon for 誰がジェイ・クレイトンを国家情報長官に任命するか

誰がジェイ・クレイトンを国家情報長官に任命するか

icon for 誰がジェイ・クレイトンを国家情報長官に任命するか

誰がジェイ・クレイトンを国家情報長官に任命するか

新規
2027/01/01
Polymarket

$412 Vol.

Polymarket

ミッチ・マコーネル

$52 Vol.

83%

ジョン・フェッターマン

$0 Vol.

45%

リサ・マーカウスキー

$43 Vol.

46%

スーザン・コリンズ

$35 Vol.

48%

ジョン・カーティス

$67 Vol.

48%

ダン・サリバン

$38 Vol.

48%

ランド・ポール

$36 Vol.

47%

ジョン・コーニン

$48 Vol.

48%

ビル・キャシディ

$43 Vol.

46%

トム・ティリス

$50 Vol.

50%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Jay Clayton to be Director of National Intelligence. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions. If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”. If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market. The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting. President Trump announced Jay Clayton’s nomination as Director of National Intelligence on June 11, 2026, following Senate pushback against an acting appointment and related FISA reauthorization concerns. The Senate Select Committee on Intelligence has scheduled Clayton’s confirmation hearing for June 17, with Republicans signaling intent to advance the nomination quickly through committee and floor votes. Clayton’s prior bipartisan Senate confirmation as SEC chair in 2017 provides historical precedent for support, though Democrats including Sen. Adam Schiff have called for full vetting and raised questions about interim leadership at the Office of the Director of National Intelligence. Trader sentiment reflects expectations of eventual confirmation driven by Republican Senate control and the administration’s urgency, tempered by procedural timelines and potential holds.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Jay Clayton to be Director of National Intelligence. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.

If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market.

The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$412
終了日
2027/01/01
マーケット開始日
Jun 12, 2026, 11:03 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Jay Clayton to be Director of National Intelligence. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions. If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”. If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market. The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Jay Clayton to be Director of National Intelligence. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions. If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”. If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market. The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting. President Trump announced Jay Clayton’s nomination as Director of National Intelligence on June 11, 2026, following Senate pushback against an acting appointment and related FISA reauthorization concerns. The Senate Select Committee on Intelligence has scheduled Clayton’s confirmation hearing for June 17, with Republicans signaling intent to advance the nomination quickly through committee and floor votes. Clayton’s prior bipartisan Senate confirmation as SEC chair in 2017 provides historical precedent for support, though Democrats including Sen. Adam Schiff have called for full vetting and raised questions about interim leadership at the Office of the Director of National Intelligence. Trader sentiment reflects expectations of eventual confirmation driven by Republican Senate control and the administration’s urgency, tempered by procedural timelines and potential holds.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Jay Clayton to be Director of National Intelligence. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.

If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market.

The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$412
終了日
2027/01/01
マーケット開始日
Jun 12, 2026, 11:03 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Jay Clayton to be Director of National Intelligence. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions. If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”. If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market. The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.

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よくある質問

「誰がジェイ・クレイトンを国家情報長官に任命するか」はPolymarket上の10個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ミッチ・マコーネル」で83%、次いで「トム・ティリス」が50%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、83¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に83%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「誰がジェイ・クレイトンを国家情報長官に任命するか」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Jun 12, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「誰がジェイ・クレイトンを国家情報長官に任命するか」で取引するには、このページに記載されている10個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「誰がジェイ・クレイトンを国家情報長官に任命するか」の現在のフロントランナーは「ミッチ・マコーネル」で83%であり、市場がこの結果に83%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「トム・ティリス」で50%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「誰がジェイ・クレイトンを国家情報長官に任命するか」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。