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icon for ジェイ・クレイトンが国家情報長官に就任したのは... ?

ジェイ・クレイトンが国家情報長官に就任したのは... ?

icon for ジェイ・クレイトンが国家情報長官に就任したのは... ?

ジェイ・クレイトンが国家情報長官に就任したのは... ?

新規
2027/01/01
Polymarket

$269 Vol.

Polymarket

6月30日

$50 Vol.

71%

8月30日

$72 Vol.

77%

10月31日

$48 Vol.

57%

12月31日

$99 Vol.

79%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jay Clayton is confirmed as Director of National Intelligence by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Jay Clayton's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee as Director of National Intelligence for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Donald Trump nominated Jay Clayton, the current U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of New York and former SEC chairman, as Director of National Intelligence on June 11, 2026, following the departure of Tulsi Gabbard and pushback against an earlier acting choice. The Senate Select Committee on Intelligence scheduled Clayton’s confirmation hearing for June 17, with potential committee action shortly thereafter and a full Senate vote possible in the coming weeks. Clayton’s prior Senate confirmation to lead the SEC in a bipartisan vote and his prosecutorial experience provide relevant background for the intelligence community role, which requires Senate approval. The rapid timeline and Republican Senate majority represent the primary near-term factors shaping the confirmation process.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jay Clayton is confirmed as Director of National Intelligence by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If Jay Clayton's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.

The Senate must confirm this nominee as Director of National Intelligence for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$269
終了日
2027/01/01
マーケット開始日
Jun 12, 2026, 11:02 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jay Clayton is confirmed as Director of National Intelligence by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Jay Clayton's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee as Director of National Intelligence for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jay Clayton is confirmed as Director of National Intelligence by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Jay Clayton's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee as Director of National Intelligence for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Donald Trump nominated Jay Clayton, the current U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of New York and former SEC chairman, as Director of National Intelligence on June 11, 2026, following the departure of Tulsi Gabbard and pushback against an earlier acting choice. The Senate Select Committee on Intelligence scheduled Clayton’s confirmation hearing for June 17, with potential committee action shortly thereafter and a full Senate vote possible in the coming weeks. Clayton’s prior Senate confirmation to lead the SEC in a bipartisan vote and his prosecutorial experience provide relevant background for the intelligence community role, which requires Senate approval. The rapid timeline and Republican Senate majority represent the primary near-term factors shaping the confirmation process.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jay Clayton is confirmed as Director of National Intelligence by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If Jay Clayton's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.

The Senate must confirm this nominee as Director of National Intelligence for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$269
終了日
2027/01/01
マーケット開始日
Jun 12, 2026, 11:02 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jay Clayton is confirmed as Director of National Intelligence by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Jay Clayton's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee as Director of National Intelligence for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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よくある質問

「ジェイ・クレイトンが国家情報長官に就任したのは... ?」はPolymarket上の4個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「12月31日」で79%、次いで「8月30日」が77%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、79¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に79%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「ジェイ・クレイトンが国家情報長官に就任したのは... ?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Jun 12, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「ジェイ・クレイトンが国家情報長官に就任したのは... ?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている4個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ジェイ・クレイトンが国家情報長官に就任したのは... ?」の現在のフロントランナーは「12月31日」で79%であり、市場がこの結果に79%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「8月30日」で77%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

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