Sen. John Fetterman has repeatedly denied plans to leave the Democratic Party or caucus with Republicans, most recently on September 15 after facing questions about his video appearance at the GOP midterm convention. In that September 9-10 appearance, he praised Republican Sen. Dave McCormick and stressed bipartisan work on Pennsylvania issues while rejecting socialism. Fetterman has cited his strong support for Israel as a potential red line for departure if Democrats adopt an official anti-Israel platform, while maintaining he votes with the party roughly 90 percent of the time on other matters. His approval among Pennsylvania Democrats has fallen sharply, prompting early 2028 primary discussions among party figures, though his term ends then and the November midterms remain the nearest electoral test.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$16,671 Vol.
2026/11/02
2026年11月2日
2%
2026年12月31日
10%
$16,671 Vol.
2026年11月2日
$8,106 Vol.
2%
2026年12月31日
$7,293 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman officially announces that he is leaving, or formally leaves, the Democratic Party by November 2, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Announcements from Fetterman that he will join the Republican Party, become an independent, join another political party, or otherwise cease to be a member of the Democratic Party will qualify. A consensus of credible reporting that Fetterman has formally left the Democratic Party will also suffice.
Statements criticizing the Democratic Party, voting with Republicans, endorsing Republican candidates, describing himself as bipartisan or independent-minded, or expressing disagreement with Democratic Party positions will not qualify unless accompanied by an official announcement that he is leaving the Democratic Party or a consensus of credible reporting that he has formally left the Democratic Party.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman officially announces that he is leaving, or formally leaves, the Democratic Party by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Announcements from Fetterman that he will join the Republican Party, become an independent, join another political party, or otherwise cease to be a member of the Democratic Party will qualify. A consensus of credible reporting that Fetterman has formally left the Democratic Party will also suffice.
Statements criticizing the Democratic Party, voting with Republicans, endorsing Republican candidates, describing himself as bipartisan or independent-minded, or expressing disagreement with Democratic Party positions will not qualify unless accompanied by an official announcement that he is leaving the Democratic Party or a consensus of credible reporting that he has formally left the Democratic Party.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sen. John Fetterman has repeatedly denied plans to leave the Democratic Party or caucus with Republicans, most recently on September 15 after facing questions about his video appearance at the GOP midterm convention. In that September 9-10 appearance, he praised Republican Sen. Dave McCormick and stressed bipartisan work on Pennsylvania issues while rejecting socialism. Fetterman has cited his strong support for Israel as a potential red line for departure if Democrats adopt an official anti-Israel platform, while maintaining he votes with the party roughly 90 percent of the time on other matters. His approval among Pennsylvania Democrats has fallen sharply, prompting early 2028 primary discussions among party figures, though his term ends then and the November midterms remain the nearest electoral test.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman officially announces that he is leaving, or formally leaves, the Democratic Party by November 2, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Announcements from Fetterman that he will join the Republican Party, become an independent, join another political party, or otherwise cease to be a member of the Democratic Party will qualify. A consensus of credible reporting that Fetterman has formally left the Democratic Party will also suffice.
Statements criticizing the Democratic Party, voting with Republicans, endorsing Republican candidates, describing himself as bipartisan or independent-minded, or expressing disagreement with Democratic Party positions will not qualify unless accompanied by an official announcement that he is leaving the Democratic Party or a consensus of credible reporting that he has formally left the Democratic Party.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Announcements from Fetterman that he will join the Republican Party, become an independent, join another political party, or otherwise cease to be a member of the Democratic Party will qualify. A consensus of credible reporting that Fetterman has formally left the Democratic Party will also suffice.
Statements criticizing the Democratic Party, voting with Republicans, endorsing Republican candidates, describing himself as bipartisan or independent-minded, or expressing disagreement with Democratic Party positions will not qualify unless accompanied by an official announcement that he is leaving the Democratic Party or a consensus of credible reporting that he has formally left the Democratic Party.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jul 21, 2026, 2:51 PM ET
音量
$16,671終了日
2026/11/02マーケット開始日
Jul 21, 2026, 2:51 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman officially announces that he is leaving, or formally leaves, the Democratic Party by November 2, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Announcements from Fetterman that he will join the Republican Party, become an independent, join another political party, or otherwise cease to be a member of the Democratic Party will qualify. A consensus of credible reporting that Fetterman has formally left the Democratic Party will also suffice.
Statements criticizing the Democratic Party, voting with Republicans, endorsing Republican candidates, describing himself as bipartisan or independent-minded, or expressing disagreement with Democratic Party positions will not qualify unless accompanied by an official announcement that he is leaving the Democratic Party or a consensus of credible reporting that he has formally left the Democratic Party.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman officially announces that he is leaving, or formally leaves, the Democratic Party by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Announcements from Fetterman that he will join the Republican Party, become an independent, join another political party, or otherwise cease to be a member of the Democratic Party will qualify. A consensus of credible reporting that Fetterman has formally left the Democratic Party will also suffice.
Statements criticizing the Democratic Party, voting with Republicans, endorsing Republican candidates, describing himself as bipartisan or independent-minded, or expressing disagreement with Democratic Party positions will not qualify unless accompanied by an official announcement that he is leaving the Democratic Party or a consensus of credible reporting that he has formally left the Democratic Party.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sen. John Fetterman has repeatedly denied plans to leave the Democratic Party or caucus with Republicans, most recently on September 15 after facing questions about his video appearance at the GOP midterm convention. In that September 9-10 appearance, he praised Republican Sen. Dave McCormick and stressed bipartisan work on Pennsylvania issues while rejecting socialism. Fetterman has cited his strong support for Israel as a potential red line for departure if Democrats adopt an official anti-Israel platform, while maintaining he votes with the party roughly 90 percent of the time on other matters. His approval among Pennsylvania Democrats has fallen sharply, prompting early 2028 primary discussions among party figures, though his term ends then and the November midterms remain the nearest electoral test.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman officially announces that he is leaving, or formally leaves, the Democratic Party by November 2, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Announcements from Fetterman that he will join the Republican Party, become an independent, join another political party, or otherwise cease to be a member of the Democratic Party will qualify. A consensus of credible reporting that Fetterman has formally left the Democratic Party will also suffice.
Statements criticizing the Democratic Party, voting with Republicans, endorsing Republican candidates, describing himself as bipartisan or independent-minded, or expressing disagreement with Democratic Party positions will not qualify unless accompanied by an official announcement that he is leaving the Democratic Party or a consensus of credible reporting that he has formally left the Democratic Party.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Announcements from Fetterman that he will join the Republican Party, become an independent, join another political party, or otherwise cease to be a member of the Democratic Party will qualify. A consensus of credible reporting that Fetterman has formally left the Democratic Party will also suffice.
Statements criticizing the Democratic Party, voting with Republicans, endorsing Republican candidates, describing himself as bipartisan or independent-minded, or expressing disagreement with Democratic Party positions will not qualify unless accompanied by an official announcement that he is leaving the Democratic Party or a consensus of credible reporting that he has formally left the Democratic Party.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$16,671終了日
2026/11/02マーケット開始日
Jul 21, 2026, 2:51 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Sen. John Fetterman has repeatedly denied plans to leave the Democratic Party or caucus with Republicans, most recently on September 15 after facing questions about his video appearance at the GOP midterm convention. In that September 9-10 appearance, he praised Republican Sen. Dave McCormick and stressed bipartisan work on Pennsylvania issues while rejecting socialism. Fetterman has cited his strong support for Israel as a potential red line for departure if Democrats adopt an official anti-Israel platform, while maintaining he votes with the party roughly 90 percent of the time on other matters. His approval among Pennsylvania Democrats has fallen sharply, prompting early 2028 primary discussions among party figures, though his term ends then and the November midterms remain the nearest electoral test.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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