Senate Republicans, holding a slim majority, confront Democratic filibusters blocking priority legislation including the SAVE America Act mandating proof of citizenship for federal voting and DHS funding bills amid ongoing shutdown threats. President Trump and senators like Ron Johnson and Mike Lee have repeatedly urged invoking the nuclear option—a simple-majority rule change to lower the 60-vote cloture threshold for legislation—most recently with Lee's May 14 statement decrying "unprecedented obstruction." Majority Leader John Thune resists, citing insufficient GOP support and risks of Democratic retaliation, such as court-packing or statehood expansions if they regain power post-2026 midterms. Trader consensus reflects deep internal divisions, with no floor vote scheduled despite mounting public pressure.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$559,667 Vol.
2026/03/31
2026年12月31日
28%
$559,667 Vol.
2026年12月31日
$4,706 Vol.
28%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.Senate Republicans, holding a slim majority, confront Democratic filibusters blocking priority legislation including the SAVE America Act mandating proof of citizenship for federal voting and DHS funding bills amid ongoing shutdown threats. President Trump and senators like Ron Johnson and Mike Lee have repeatedly urged invoking the nuclear option—a simple-majority rule change to lower the 60-vote cloture threshold for legislation—most recently with Lee's May 14 statement decrying "unprecedented obstruction." Majority Leader John Thune resists, citing insufficient GOP support and risks of Democratic retaliation, such as court-packing or statehood expansions if they regain power post-2026 midterms. Trader consensus reflects deep internal divisions, with no floor vote scheduled despite mounting public pressure.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.
マーケット開始日： Jan 2, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
音量
$559,667終了日
2026/03/31マーケット開始日
Jan 2, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.Senate Republicans, holding a slim majority, confront Democratic filibusters blocking priority legislation including the SAVE America Act mandating proof of citizenship for federal voting and DHS funding bills amid ongoing shutdown threats. President Trump and senators like Ron Johnson and Mike Lee have repeatedly urged invoking the nuclear option—a simple-majority rule change to lower the 60-vote cloture threshold for legislation—most recently with Lee's May 14 statement decrying "unprecedented obstruction." Majority Leader John Thune resists, citing insufficient GOP support and risks of Democratic retaliation, such as court-packing or statehood expansions if they regain power post-2026 midterms. Trader consensus reflects deep internal divisions, with no floor vote scheduled despite mounting public pressure.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.
音量
$559,667終了日
2026/03/31マーケット開始日
Jan 2, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Senate Republicans, holding a slim majority, confront Democratic filibusters blocking priority legislation including the SAVE America Act mandating proof of citizenship for federal voting and DHS funding bills amid ongoing shutdown threats. President Trump and senators like Ron Johnson and Mike Lee have repeatedly urged invoking the nuclear option—a simple-majority rule change to lower the 60-vote cloture threshold for legislation—most recently with Lee's May 14 statement decrying "unprecedented obstruction." Majority Leader John Thune resists, citing insufficient GOP support and risks of Democratic retaliation, such as court-packing or statehood expansions if they regain power post-2026 midterms. Trader consensus reflects deep internal divisions, with no floor vote scheduled despite mounting public pressure.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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