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icon for Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?

Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?

icon for Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?

Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?

$16,562 Vol.

2026/09/30
Polymarket

$16,562 Vol.

Polymarket

9月30日

$1,363 Vol.

1%

December 31

$12,914 Vol.

22%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a reconciliation bill between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.House Republicans advanced a July 2026 budget resolution laying groundwork for a potential third reconciliation package focused on defense spending, agriculture aid, and election measures, following passage of the June 2026 $70 billion immigration enforcement bill. However, Senate inaction on a matching framework, combined with narrow GOP majorities and fiscal hawk demands for full offsets, has limited further progress. A crowded fall calendar centered on appropriations deadlines and midterm pressures adds constraints, keeping prospects for another House-passed reconciliation bill before year-end low amid ongoing intraparty negotiations.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a reconciliation bill between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a reconciliation bill between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$16,562
終了日
2027/01/01
マーケット開始日
Jun 26, 2026, 3:30 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a reconciliation bill between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.House Republicans advanced a July 2026 budget resolution laying groundwork for a potential third reconciliation package focused on defense spending, agriculture aid, and election measures, following passage of the June 2026 $70 billion immigration enforcement bill. However, Senate inaction on a matching framework, combined with narrow GOP majorities and fiscal hawk demands for full offsets, has limited further progress. A crowded fall calendar centered on appropriations deadlines and midterm pressures adds constraints, keeping prospects for another House-passed reconciliation bill before year-end low amid ongoing intraparty negotiations.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a reconciliation bill between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a reconciliation bill between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$16,562
終了日
2027/01/01
マーケット開始日
Jun 26, 2026, 3:30 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...

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よくある質問

「Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?」はPolymarket上の3個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「December 31」で22%、次いで「9月30日」が1%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、22¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に22%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?」は$16.6Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Jun 26, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている3個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?」の現在のフロントランナーは「December 31」で22%であり、市場がこの結果に22%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「9月30日」で1%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。