The ongoing State Duma election, held over three days ending September 20, 2026, features only Kremlin-aligned parties after Russia's Supreme Court disqualified Yabloko's federal list in August. United Russia leads preliminary results above 57 percent, while the CPRF, LDPR, New People, and A Just Russia appear on track to clear the five percent proportional threshold or win single-mandate districts based on early counts and historical patterns. Eleven parties registered without signature requirements, yet only these five systemic options hold realistic prospects of seats amid limited genuine opposition and institutional controls. Smaller lists remain well below viability thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$192,330 Vol.
2026/09/20
公正ロシア ・ 真実のために（SRZP）
99%
ロディナ
99%
ヤブロコ
1%
ロシア年金受給者社会正義党
1%
ロシアのエコロジー党「緑の党」
<1%
$192,330 Vol.
公正ロシア ・ 真実のために（SRZP）
$6,083 Vol.
99%
ロディナ
$13,952 Vol.
99%
ヤブロコ
$63,244 Vol.
1%
ロシア年金受給者社会正義党
$4,730 Vol.
1%
ロシアのエコロジー党「緑の党」
$104,399 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed party receives at least one seat in the Russian State Duma as a result of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election. Otherwise, that market will resolve to “No”.
Seats will be counted only where the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation attributes them to the named party. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If a named party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, each market will resolve to “No”.
These markets will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, they will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.The ongoing State Duma election, held over three days ending September 20, 2026, features only Kremlin-aligned parties after Russia's Supreme Court disqualified Yabloko's federal list in August. United Russia leads preliminary results above 57 percent, while the CPRF, LDPR, New People, and A Just Russia appear on track to clear the five percent proportional threshold or win single-mandate districts based on early counts and historical patterns. Eleven parties registered without signature requirements, yet only these five systemic options hold realistic prospects of seats amid limited genuine opposition and institutional controls. Smaller lists remain well below viability thresholds.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed party receives at least one seat in the Russian State Duma as a result of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election. Otherwise, that market will resolve to “No”.
Seats will be counted only where the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation attributes them to the named party. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If a named party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, each market will resolve to “No”.
These markets will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, they will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed party receives at least one seat in the Russian State Duma as a result of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election. Otherwise, that market will resolve to “No”.
Seats will be counted only where the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation attributes them to the named party. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If a named party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, each market will resolve to “No”.
These markets will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, they will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
マーケット開始日： Sep 1, 2026, 8:42 PM ET
音量
$192,330終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Sep 1, 2026, 8:42 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed party receives at least one seat in the Russian State Duma as a result of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election. Otherwise, that market will resolve to “No”.
Seats will be counted only where the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation attributes them to the named party. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If a named party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, each market will resolve to “No”.
These markets will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, they will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.The ongoing State Duma election, held over three days ending September 20, 2026, features only Kremlin-aligned parties after Russia's Supreme Court disqualified Yabloko's federal list in August. United Russia leads preliminary results above 57 percent, while the CPRF, LDPR, New People, and A Just Russia appear on track to clear the five percent proportional threshold or win single-mandate districts based on early counts and historical patterns. Eleven parties registered without signature requirements, yet only these five systemic options hold realistic prospects of seats amid limited genuine opposition and institutional controls. Smaller lists remain well below viability thresholds.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed party receives at least one seat in the Russian State Duma as a result of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election. Otherwise, that market will resolve to “No”.
Seats will be counted only where the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation attributes them to the named party. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If a named party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, each market will resolve to “No”.
These markets will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, they will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed party receives at least one seat in the Russian State Duma as a result of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election. Otherwise, that market will resolve to “No”.
Seats will be counted only where the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation attributes them to the named party. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If a named party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, each market will resolve to “No”.
These markets will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, they will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
音量
$192,330終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Sep 1, 2026, 8:42 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...The ongoing State Duma election, held over three days ending September 20, 2026, features only Kremlin-aligned parties after Russia's Supreme Court disqualified Yabloko's federal list in August. United Russia leads preliminary results above 57 percent, while the CPRF, LDPR, New People, and A Just Russia appear on track to clear the five percent proportional threshold or win single-mandate districts based on early counts and historical patterns. Eleven parties registered without signature requirements, yet only these five systemic options hold realistic prospects of seats amid limited genuine opposition and institutional controls. Smaller lists remain well below viability thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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