Recent polling for Israel's October 27 election shows the Reservists–New Economic Party alliance, formed in early September after the split with Hili Tropper, hovering near or below the 3.25% electoral threshold. Surveys from mid-September, including Channel 12 and Maariv, indicate seat projections ranging from zero to four, reflecting volatility tied to competition from larger centrist lists such as Yashar and Amcha Yisrael. The party's emphasis on reservist priorities and universal conscription has not yet translated into sustained support amid vote fragmentation across multiple right-leaning and opposition factions. Trader consensus on sub-3.25% outcomes aligns with this pattern of marginal polling and the structural barriers new alliances face in consolidating backing before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日2.75％未満 36%
3.25-3.75% 22%
2.75〜3.25% 22%
4.25%以上 18%
新規
新規
2026/11/30
2.75％未満
36%
2.75〜3.25%
22%
3.25-3.75%
22%
3.75〜4.25％
17%
4.25%以上
18%
2.75％未満 36%
3.25-3.75% 22%
2.75〜3.25% 22%
4.25%以上 18%
新規
新規
2026/11/30
2.75％未満
$100 Vol.
36%
2.75〜3.25%
$40 Vol.
22%
3.25-3.75%
$44 Vol.
22%
3.75〜4.25％
$37 Vol.
17%
4.25%以上
$48 Vol.
18%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Reservists – New Economic Party party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Reservists – New Economic Party's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Reservists – New Economic Party passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Reservists – New Economic Party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Reservists – New Economic Party merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polling for Israel's October 27 election shows the Reservists–New Economic Party alliance, formed in early September after the split with Hili Tropper, hovering near or below the 3.25% electoral threshold. Surveys from mid-September, including Channel 12 and Maariv, indicate seat projections ranging from zero to four, reflecting volatility tied to competition from larger centrist lists such as Yashar and Amcha Yisrael. The party's emphasis on reservist priorities and universal conscription has not yet translated into sustained support amid vote fragmentation across multiple right-leaning and opposition factions. Trader consensus on sub-3.25% outcomes aligns with this pattern of marginal polling and the structural barriers new alliances face in consolidating backing before election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Reservists – New Economic Party party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Reservists – New Economic Party's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Reservists – New Economic Party passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Reservists – New Economic Party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Reservists – New Economic Party merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Reservists – New Economic Party party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Reservists – New Economic Party's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Reservists – New Economic Party passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Reservists – New Economic Party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Reservists – New Economic Party merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
マーケット開始日： Sep 9, 2026, 5:21 PM ET
音量
$270終了日
2026/10/27マーケット開始日
Sep 9, 2026, 5:21 PM ETLegislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Reservists – New Economic Party party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Reservists – New Economic Party's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Reservists – New Economic Party passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Reservists – New Economic Party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Reservists – New Economic Party merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polling for Israel's October 27 election shows the Reservists–New Economic Party alliance, formed in early September after the split with Hili Tropper, hovering near or below the 3.25% electoral threshold. Surveys from mid-September, including Channel 12 and Maariv, indicate seat projections ranging from zero to four, reflecting volatility tied to competition from larger centrist lists such as Yashar and Amcha Yisrael. The party's emphasis on reservist priorities and universal conscription has not yet translated into sustained support amid vote fragmentation across multiple right-leaning and opposition factions. Trader consensus on sub-3.25% outcomes aligns with this pattern of marginal polling and the structural barriers new alliances face in consolidating backing before election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Reservists – New Economic Party party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Reservists – New Economic Party's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Reservists – New Economic Party passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Reservists – New Economic Party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Reservists – New Economic Party merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Reservists – New Economic Party party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Reservists – New Economic Party's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Reservists – New Economic Party passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Reservists – New Economic Party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Reservists – New Economic Party merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
音量
$270終了日
2026/10/27マーケット開始日
Sep 9, 2026, 5:21 PM ETRecent polling for Israel's October 27 election shows the Reservists–New Economic Party alliance, formed in early September after the split with Hili Tropper, hovering near or below the 3.25% electoral threshold. Surveys from mid-September, including Channel 12 and Maariv, indicate seat projections ranging from zero to four, reflecting volatility tied to competition from larger centrist lists such as Yashar and Amcha Yisrael. The party's emphasis on reservist priorities and universal conscription has not yet translated into sustained support amid vote fragmentation across multiple right-leaning and opposition factions. Trader consensus on sub-3.25% outcomes aligns with this pattern of marginal polling and the structural barriers new alliances face in consolidating backing before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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