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icon for ミシガン州民主党上院予備選:オークランド郡優勝

ミシガン州民主党上院予備選:オークランド郡優勝

icon for ミシガン州民主党上院予備選:オークランド郡優勝

ミシガン州民主党上院予備選:オークランド郡優勝

新規
Polymarket
新規

Haley Stevens

$147 Vol.

74%

Abdul El-Sayed

$0 Vol.

21%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Oakland County in the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on August 4, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the Oakland County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Oakland County.The Michigan Democratic Senate primary remains closely contested in Oakland County due to the withdrawal of state Sen. Mallory McMorrow on July 5, 2026, which consolidated support between U.S. Rep. Haley Stevens and Abdul El-Sayed ahead of the August 4 vote. Stevens benefits from recent endorsement by retiring Sen. Gary Peters and established local ties in suburban Oakland districts, while El-Sayed draws strength from progressive networks and differing emphases on health care and foreign policy. These factors, combined with the county's mix of Democratic voters and limited recent polling specific to the area, sustain the tight trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. Upcoming debates or additional endorsements could shift momentum before primary day.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Oakland County in the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on August 4, 2026.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the Oakland County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Oakland County.
音量
$147
終了日
2026/08/04
マーケット開始日
Jul 21, 2026, 7:00 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Oakland County in the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on August 4, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the Oakland County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Oakland County.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Oakland County in the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on August 4, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the Oakland County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Oakland County.The Michigan Democratic Senate primary remains closely contested in Oakland County due to the withdrawal of state Sen. Mallory McMorrow on July 5, 2026, which consolidated support between U.S. Rep. Haley Stevens and Abdul El-Sayed ahead of the August 4 vote. Stevens benefits from recent endorsement by retiring Sen. Gary Peters and established local ties in suburban Oakland districts, while El-Sayed draws strength from progressive networks and differing emphases on health care and foreign policy. These factors, combined with the county's mix of Democratic voters and limited recent polling specific to the area, sustain the tight trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. Upcoming debates or additional endorsements could shift momentum before primary day.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Oakland County in the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on August 4, 2026.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the Oakland County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Oakland County.
音量
$147
終了日
2026/08/04
マーケット開始日
Jul 21, 2026, 7:00 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Oakland County in the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on August 4, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the Oakland County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Oakland County.

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よくある質問

「ミシガン州民主党上院予備選:オークランド郡優勝」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Haley Stevens」で74%、次いで「Abdul El-Sayed」が21%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、74¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に74%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「ミシガン州民主党上院予備選:オークランド郡優勝」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Jul 21, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「ミシガン州民主党上院予備選:オークランド郡優勝」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ミシガン州民主党上院予備選:オークランド郡優勝」の現在のフロントランナーは「Haley Stevens」で74%であり、市場がこの結果に74%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Abdul El-Sayed」で21%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ミシガン州民主党上院予備選:オークランド郡優勝」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。