Washington’s August 4 top-two primary for the 5th congressional district features incumbent Republican Michael Baumgartner seeking a second term against a crowded field that includes Democrat Carmela Conroy, who lost to him by roughly 21 points in 2024, plus several other Democrats and independents. The district’s eastern Washington footprint has consistently favored Republicans, reflected in Baumgartner’s substantial fundraising edge and a recent poll showing him well ahead. Under Washington’s system, the two highest vote-getters advance regardless of party, so vote-splitting among Democratic challengers could determine whether Conroy secures the second spot. No major late developments have altered the candidate lineup since the May filing deadline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
2026/08/04
マイケル・バウムガートナー
93%
カーメラ・コンロイ
89%
アン・マリー・ダニマス
13%
デイビッド・ウォマック
12%
マシュー・ヘイズ
12%
カイル・アーシー
11%
バジュン・マヴァルワラ
11%
アンドリュー・バートルソン
10%
ケビン・フェイガン
9%
ネイト・パウエル
9%
$328 Vol.
マイケル・バウムガートナー
$67 Vol.
93%
カーメラ・コンロイ
$0 Vol.
89%
アン・マリー・ダニマス
$33 Vol.
13%
デイビッド・ウォマック
$53 Vol.
12%
マシュー・ヘイズ
$18 Vol.
12%
カイル・アーシー
$27 Vol.
11%
バジュン・マヴァルワラ
$54 Vol.
11%
アンドリュー・バートルソン
$0 Vol.
10%
ケビン・フェイガン
$66 Vol.
9%
ネイト・パウエル
$12 Vol.
9%
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 WA-05 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.Washington’s August 4 top-two primary for the 5th congressional district features incumbent Republican Michael Baumgartner seeking a second term against a crowded field that includes Democrat Carmela Conroy, who lost to him by roughly 21 points in 2024, plus several other Democrats and independents. The district’s eastern Washington footprint has consistently favored Republicans, reflected in Baumgartner’s substantial fundraising edge and a recent poll showing him well ahead. Under Washington’s system, the two highest vote-getters advance regardless of party, so vote-splitting among Democratic challengers could determine whether Conroy secures the second spot. No major late developments have altered the candidate lineup since the May filing deadline.
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 WA-05 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 WA-05 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
マーケット開始日： Jul 20, 2026, 5:53 PM ET
音量
$328終了日
2026/08/04マーケット開始日
Jul 20, 2026, 5:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The non-partisan primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 WA-05 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.Washington’s August 4 top-two primary for the 5th congressional district features incumbent Republican Michael Baumgartner seeking a second term against a crowded field that includes Democrat Carmela Conroy, who lost to him by roughly 21 points in 2024, plus several other Democrats and independents. The district’s eastern Washington footprint has consistently favored Republicans, reflected in Baumgartner’s substantial fundraising edge and a recent poll showing him well ahead. Under Washington’s system, the two highest vote-getters advance regardless of party, so vote-splitting among Democratic challengers could determine whether Conroy secures the second spot. No major late developments have altered the candidate lineup since the May filing deadline.
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 WA-05 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 WA-05 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
音量
$328終了日
2026/08/04マーケット開始日
Jul 20, 2026, 5:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Washington’s August 4 top-two primary for the 5th congressional district features incumbent Republican Michael Baumgartner seeking a second term against a crowded field that includes Democrat Carmela Conroy, who lost to him by roughly 21 points in 2024, plus several other Democrats and independents. The district’s eastern Washington footprint has consistently favored Republicans, reflected in Baumgartner’s substantial fundraising edge and a recent poll showing him well ahead. Under Washington’s system, the two highest vote-getters advance regardless of party, so vote-splitting among Democratic challengers could determine whether Conroy secures the second spot. No major late developments have altered the candidate lineup since the May filing deadline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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